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New RSR - Canadian federal survey on leadership, economic, social, environmental and security issues
  Jun 15, 2014

This is a major RSR Survey of Canadian voters from the 2011 federal general election. This survey includes 9 Canadian provinces.
The outcomes of this RSR Survey are somewhat reminiscent of the 2004 general election with the roles of the federal Liberals and Conservatives in reverse. In 2004 Canadians were not quite ready to let go of the Liberal government or not ready for Stephen Harper. Today it appears they may be willing to say good bye to Stephen Harper's Conservatives.
Justin Trudeau and his Liberal Party of Canada remain most popular in the country at 35.5%. The most significant outcomes on this account remain in Ontario and Quebec - with voters flocking to support the party. In addition, Liberal numbers across Western Canada are on the rise, while numbers in the Atlantic Provinces remain solid.
Stephen Harper's Conservatives continue (from previous RSR Surveys) to see support in Ontario and Quebec eroding to the benefit of the Liberal Party. Although the Conservatives have long experienced political strength in the western provinces, support is slipping somewhat and British Columbia is a three way contest. What impact might Stephen Harper forcing the pipeline issue in that province have on support there he will desperately need to possibly avoid electoral catastrophe next May 2015.
Thomas Mulcair's New Democrats have slipped in support particularly in their recent stronghold of Quebec, where their dominance is being challenged by the Liberal Party.

Question #1
Which leader and party in Canada do you support at this moment in time?
Justin Trudeau and Liberal Party of Canada    35.5 %
Stephen Harper and Conservative Party of Canada    31 %
Thomas Mulcair and New Democratic Party of Canada    26 %
Question #2
Rate the following three leaders on a number of qualities/characteristics (overall leadership competence)
Stephen Harper    37 %
Justin Trudeau    32 %
Thomas Mulcair    27 %
Question #3
Leadership Trust
Justin Trudeau    38 %
Stephen Harper    27 %
Thomas Mulcair    24 %
Question #4
Leadership capacity for open mindedness
Justin Trudeau    47 %
Thomas Mulcair    27 %
Stephen Harper    26 %
Question #5
(Economics) Since the beginning of the recession in 2008 do you believe that the Conservative government has 'done enough' to improve the nation's economic condition?
Yes    36 %
No    53 %
Question #6
(Economics) Which political party do you 'foresee' as best suited to manage Canadian tax dollars?
Liberal Party    38 %
Conservative Party    36 %
New Democratic Party    22 %
Question #7
(Economics) Which political party do you believe will be best suited to encourage more good paying jobs in Canada?
Liberal Party    39 %
Conservative Party    32 %
New Democratic Party    29 %
Question #8
In your opinion should the federal government invest billions of dollars in Canada's infrastructure including roads, bridges, transportation and other required for cities and municipalities?
Yes    56 %
No    32 %
Question #9
(Social Issues) Which Canadian political leader do you believe has the most awareness and sensitivity to deal with: aboriginal issues
Justin Trudeau    51 %
Thomas Mulcair    29 %
Stephen Harper    17 %
Question #10
Women's equality issues and sexual orientation
Justin Trudeau    50 %
Stephen Harper    24 %
Thomas Mulcair    21 %
Question #11
If you had to choose only one of the following groups of social issues as a response which one in your opinion best represents where government should activate more resources and attention?
Aboriginal, poverty and persons with disability issues    27 %
Education, health and cultural issues    45 %
Women's gender equality issues and sexual orientation    20 %
Prostitution and Abortion    8 %
Question #12
(Environment) Which Canadian leader do you believe is best suited to help Canada's natural environment and deal appropriately with the issue of green house gases and global warming?
Justin Trudeau    43 %
Thomas Mulcair    28 %
Stephen Harper    18 %
Question #13
(Security) In your opinion should Canada?
Sell its energy abroad to major markets including such countries as China and the United States    35 %
Maintain its natural resources to ensure Canadians have low cost energy and gasoline    57 %
Question #14
(Security)Do you believe that government spies on citizens it should not be spying on from time to time?
Yes    72 %
No    19 %
Question #15
(Security) In your opinion are retail gasoline prices?
Subject to market forces and geopolitical conflict    48 %
Manipulated for maximum profits    44 %
Commentary
On the question of leadership - Prime Minister Stephen Harper is considered overall the most competent at (37%), followed by Justin Trudeau (32%) and Thomas Mulcair (28%).
On leadership trust Justin Trudeau scores (36%), Stephen Harper (27%) and Thomas Mulcair (24%).
On 'open-mindedness' Justin Trudeau scores (47%), Thomas Mulcair (27%) and Stephen Harper (26%).
Less than (40%) of Canadians believe that Stephen Harper's Conservatives 'have done enough to improve the nations' economic condition.'
The Liberal Party of Canada and Conservative Party of Canada are 'foreseen' to be the best at managing tax payers dollars (38%) to (36%).
Canadians see the Liberal Party as the one to encourage an increase in good paying jobs (39%), while the Conservatives (32%) and New Democrats (29%) are close on this account.
A very clear majority of Canadians support the federal government spending billions on infrastructure including roads, bridges, and other infrastructure.
Nearly one in two Canadians government should focus resources on education, health and cultural issues, while (27%) suggest government focus should be on aboriginal, poverty and disability matters,(20%) believe women's equality and sexual orientation issues are important, and (8%) believe prostitution and abortion should attract the most government focus and resources.
Justin Trudeau easily outdistances Stephen Harper and Thomas Mulcair on social issues pertaining to aboriginal, women's equality and sexual orientation attracting (50%) of support. On these two questions (three subjects) Thomas Mulcair attracts (25%) and Stephen Harper (20%).
Fourty-three per cent of Canadians see Justin Trudeau as the best leader for the environment, while (28%) support Thomas Mulcair as the best leader for the environment and one one in five support Stephen Harper in this capacity.
A real stunning outcome from questions 14 and 15 with a clear majority of Canadians of the opinion that we should retain our natural resources for Canadians and a minority supporting the sale to large industrial countries like China and the United States.
A stunning super majority of Canadians believe the government spies on Canadians it should not spy on.
Canadians are virtually split on whether or not gasoline prices are the product of market and geopolitical forces, or a consequence of manipulation.
Support by province as follows: Justin Trudeau and Federal Liberal Party of Canada - BC (31%), Alberta (27.5%), Saskatchewan (26%), Manitoba (31%), Ontario (42%), Quebec (29%), New Brunswick (27%), Nova Scotia (32%), Newfoundland and Labrador (45%)
Stephen Harper and Conservative Party of Canada- BC (32%), Alberta (51%), Saskatchewan (49%), Manitoba (39%), Ontario (30%), Quebec (17%), New Brunswick (34%), Nova Scotia (27%) Newfoundland and Labrador (29%).
Thomas Mulcair and New Democratic Party of Canada - BC (28%), Alberta (20%), Saskatchewan (22%), Manitoba (23%), Ontario (25%), Quebec (33%), New Brunswick (28%), Nova Scotia (31%), Newfoundland and Labrador (20%).
This is an RSR Survey of 1,003 Canadians across 9 provinces undertaken between June 5 and June 13, 2014. Outcomes adjusted to reflect population values for each province. The Margin of Error is 3% plus or minus at 95% confidence.

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