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Canada Election September 17, 2015 NDP (35%), Liberals (32%) Conservatives (27%) Global Warming Paris France, Budget, Women and Aboriginals, Veterans, the Duffy $90,000, Legal Profession Act,
  Sep 17, 2015

Question #1
Which leader and party do you support in the Canadian federal election? (% for leader and party to 100% net of Undecided in brackets)
Tom Mulcair and New Democratic Party of Canada    35 %
Justin Trudeau and Liberal Party of Canada    32 %
Stephen Harper and Conservative Party of Canada    27 %
Elizabeth May and Green Party of Canada    5 %
Gilles Duceppe and Bloc Quebecois    2 %
Undecided/Can't Answer/Refuse to Respond    9 %
Question #2
(Taxation) From the following response choices who in your opinion should be taxed, if any?
Corporations should be taxed at higher rates    37.7 %
Persons earning more than $250,000 per year should be taxed at higher rates    30.1 %
I don't believe there should be any increase in taxes    24.5 %
Undecided/Unsure/Can't Answer    8.4 %
Question #3
(Economics) Which of the following party leaders do you believe will be most honest about the financial health of the country with the interests of all Canadians in mind?
Justin Trudeau    34.8 %
Tom Mulcair    32.6 %
Stephen Harper    27.9 %
None of these    18.5 %
Question #4
(Environment) The Climate Change Conference (COP21) is set to begin November 30, 2015 in Paris France. From the following response choices, who in your opinion, would be the best person to represent Canada?
Justin Trudeau    36.88 %
Tom Mulcair    32.14 %
Elizabeth May    16.55 %
Stephen Harper    10.76 %
Undecided/Unsure/Can't Answer    6.3 %
Question #5
(Debate) In your opinion should there be a distinct and separate election debate on the subject of Climate Change and the Environment?
Yes    54.88 %
No    29.06 %
Undecided/No Opinion/Unsure/Can't Answer    14.53 %
Question #6
(Debate) In your opinion should there be a distinct and separate election debate on the subject of Gender Equity Women's Issues and Aboriginal matters?
Yes    46.9 %
No    34.5 %
Undecided/Unsure/Can't Answer    18.6 %
Question #7
(Foreign Policy) Which response choice reflects most accurately your position on Canada's foreign policy?
Canada should stay out of any military conflict    37.3 %
Canada should focus on humanitarian missions    30.8 %
Canada should use its resources to combat ISIS and terrorism    21.2 %
Undecided/No Opinion/Unsure/Can't Answer    9.6 %
Question #8
(Bill C -51) Do you support Bill C 51 which provides increased powers to the RCMP and CSIS Canada's spy agency with the objective keeping Canada safe from terrorists?
Yes    27 %
No    66 %
Undecided/No Opinion/Unsure/Can't Answer    7 %
Question #9
Who do you believe would best take care of Canada's military in terms of compensation for injury and mental health?
Justin Trudeau    36 %
Tom Mulcair    33 %
Stephen Harper    19 %
Undecided/Don't Know/No Opinion    9 %
Question #10
During the Mike Duffy criminal trial involving a $90,000 payment from then PMO Chief of Staff Nigel Wright to Mike Duffy resulted in criminal charges being laid against Mr. Duffy. Later in court testimony the Prime Minister's lawyer testified that the new chief of staff Ray Novak was also aware of the $90,000 payment to Mr. Duffy. Question: Prime Minister Stephen Harper says he was never told about the $90,000 payment, do you believe him?
Yes    26.6 %
No    62.8 %
Undecided/Don't know    10.2 %
Question #11
Legal Profession Act(s) regulate the practice of law in each Canadian Province. Would you expect that lawyers and judges would be familiar with the law that regulates their profession?
Yes    77 %
No    14 %
Undecided/Don't Know/No opinion    9 %
Question #12
In a real situation lawyers signed and filed a court order when no order was given by any judge. What penalty, if any, from the following response choices best reflects what your punishment would be?
A criminal charge    36 %
Disbarment for life from the profession    32 %
Both criminal charges and disbarment    21 %
None of these    8 %
Undecided/Don't know    3 %
Commentary
#1-New Democrat support by province: British Columbia (40%), Alberta (26%), Saskatchewan (26%), Manitoba (22%), Ontario (25%), Quebec (47%), New Brunswick (29%), Nova Scotia (30%), PEI (29%), Newfoundland and Labrador (31%).
#2-Liberal support by province: British Columbia (26%), Alberta (26%), Saskatchewan (26%), Manitoba (36%), Ontario (40%), Quebec (28%), New Brunswick (44%), PEI (55%), Newfoundland and Labrador (52%)
#3-Conservative support by province: British Columbia (23%), Alberta (44%), Saskatchewan (51%), Manitoba (37%), New Brunswick (25%), Nova Scotia (20%), PEI (16%), Newfoundland and Labrador (18%).
#1 Tom Mulcair and New Democrats- Increasing support in Quebec, hold in Ontario, increase in British Columbia and most other provinces, add in undecided from 2011 voters (if no other party gains theirs – then on cusp of majority government.
#2 Justin Trudeau and Liberals – 14% gain in Ontario, big gains everywhere from 2011. Undecided from 2011 under one half percent. Potential for minority government.
#3 Stephen Harper and Conservatives – losses all across the country – voter collapse in Atlantic provinces, low in Quebec – off 13% in Ontario (mostly to Liberals). Pockets of collapse in British Columbia. Will not win minority government without bringing back disgruntled Conservatives who don't trust him anymore. Predict October 19, 2015 last day in office for Stephen Harper.
Over (40%) of decided respondents want Corporations to be charged higher taxes, while about one third want higher taxes for persons earning more than $250,000. Nearly (30%) say no the any tax increases.
Justin Trudeau is seen as “most honest” when it comes to the financial health of the country “with all the interests of Canadians in mind”. Tom Mulcair is a close 2nd, with Stephen Harper is 3rd.
Justin Trudeau is seen as the best person to represent Canada at the Climate Change Conference (COP21) set for Paris France November 30, 2015 and soon after this Canadian federal election.Again Tom Mulcair is close behind Justin Trudeau, Elizabeth May is 3rd and Stephen Harper is a very distant fourth.
More than (50%) of decided Canadians are of the opinion that a distinct and separate election debate on women's issues and Aboriginal matters.
More than (40%) of decided Canadians don't want Canada in any further military engagement. One third support humanitarianism, while less than on in four would direct resources to fighting ISIS and terrorism. Most Canadians believe Justin Trudeau would look after injured Canadian war veterans best while Tom Mulcair is a close second and Stephen Harper third.
Nearly (70%) of decided Canadians reject Bill-C-51.
By contrary assertion of the question (66%) of decided respondents believe Stephen Harper knew about the payment of $90,000 by Nigel Wright to Mike Duffy.
More than (80%) of Canadians believe that lawyers and judges should be familiar with the Legal Profession Act (in each province) that regulates the practice of law.
Lawyers are often the ones entrusted with signing and filing orders in the court registry after hearing before a Judge. In a case where no order was given by the Court and the lawyers filed a false order Canadians are more inclined to seek criminal prosecution than simple disbarment from the profession.
Methodology – A survey of RSR Robbins 'private lists of persons' who we believe voted in the 2011 federal election. The sample is presented as 6,230. The gathering of data began for purposes of presentation August 28, 2015 until September 15, 2015. Our own internal margin of error is calculated as follows (not statistical): Stephen Harper and Conservatives: (26.8-27.5%), Justin Trudeau and Liberals (30.04 to 34.9%) and Tom Mulcair and New Democrats (34.7% to 36.01%). Numbers are reflected of subtraction of undecided from gross support. Conservative undecided estimated at 55% of the total. Majority of sample presented is by telephone contact not all originating in Canada. Other methods are also used from private contacts. Telephone contact is highest during the day and sample is skewed to persons of higher average age (49) with age known is (63%) of cases and an estimated 24% of persons from originals either gone or not wanting to be included. Conservatives are more likely to be in the latter group. Best efforts to create adjustment to meet equivalency for 2011 vote outcomes as baseline. Glen Robbins is designated as sponsor of poll.

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