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RSR ROBBINS - Glen P. Robbins - Book V State of Florida - Trump v Clinton, Biden, Sanders, Cortez, is Mueller successful? & ICE
  Sep 03, 2018

Question #1
Baseline: Who did you vote for in the 2016 U.S. Election? (From raw data)
Donald Trump, Republican    52 %
Hillary Clinton    48 %
Question #2
Actual 2016 Presidential Outcome:
Donald Trump, Republican    49 %
Hillary Clinton, Democrat    48 %
Question #3
If an election for President was held today which of the following two candidates would you vote for? (Decided, post adjustment from Q#1 to Q#2)
Donald Trump, Republican    51 %
Hillary Clinton, Democrat    30 %
(Undecided/All Other)    19 %
Question #4
If an election for President was held today which of the following two candidates would you vote for? (Decided, post adjustment from Q#1-Q#2)
Donald Trump, Republican    47 %
Bernie Sanders, Democrat    41 %
Undecided/All Other)    12 %
Question #5
If an election for President was held today which of the following two candidates would you vote for? (Ibid).
Donald Trump, Republican    46 %
Joe Biden, Democrat    39 %
Undecided/All Other)    15 %
Question #6
If an election for President was held today which of the following two candidates would you vote for? (Ibid)
Donald Trump, Republican    48 %
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Democrat    35 %
(Undecided/All Other)    17 %
Question #7
“On May 17, 2017 Robert Mueller III was appointed by acting Attorney General Rod J. Rosenstein to serve as Special Counsel to investigate the Russian government’s efforts to interfere with the 2016 U.S. Election.” In your opinion, to date has- this investigation proved successful? (No adjustment).
Yes    21 %
No    62 %
Undecided/All Other    17 %
Question #8
Would you like to see U.S. Customs and Enforcement Agency (“ICE”) dismantled
Yes    18 %
No    78 %
(Undecided/All Other)    4 %
Commentary
Survey in Last week/State of Florida/ – Margin of Error based on sample size relative to number of voters – and survey (not random poll). This survey possesses no random nature from which a true statistical margin of error might be derived. I believe it serves as valuable as a general tool for assessing the present climate of political leadership. Best efforts are made to align sample to turnout by ethnic background (race actually) from 2016 actual to this point in time.
I place a Margin of Error on numbers at (2%). I set support for U.S. President Donald Trump in the State of Florida at this moment in time at (47%) (Net). I also set support for U.S. President Trump on a Decided (grossed up to 100%) at (59%) with Secretary Clinton’s lower (%) numbers in the calculation.
I place President Trump at (55%) (Decided) and (47%) (Net) without Clinton in the calculation.
I place my own stake at suggestion that if an Election for President were held today in the State of Florida Donald Trump would attain (52%) of the vote. I do not necessarily hold that Democrats would get all of the other (48%).
How this may or may not overlay the big race for Governor (should attract a lot of attention as ‘underlying evidence’ of where voters are going – nationally) is not certain.
So, after subtracting any other votes given to non Republican or Democrat candidate for Governor – I might suggest that ‘the president’s guy’ fails if he does not achieve (51%) of the vote as between him and the Democrats’ candidate.
Clearly Floridians do not believe the Muellar investigation (to date) has been successful in terms of meeting its mandate. This does not mean that 2016 Florida Voters don’t or do want it continue.
However in terms of recent polling (from more anti Trump forces) suggesting that Americans want Mueller to continue with his ‘Russia probe’ combined with Mueller’s apparent comments that he doesn’t want his investigation to interfere with mid terms – thus begs the question – when does Mueller take a recess or will news continue to use Mueller as a type of (very) indirect causal inference against Trump? Or, alternatively will Mueller wrap up what he has done and file a report soon?
Obviously spending money keeping the investigation on hold as it were until after mid terms in light of perceptions of lack of success pursuant to mandate (and keeping in mind outcome of polls suggesting Americans want him to continue (published during McCain funeral(s)) create large moonscapes of political incongruence.
Americans are not connecting the dots to Mueller success to convictions (Manafort) et al, and pundits (exceedingly desperate) efforts suggesting there is a causal connection in American Voters minds from Russia investigation to these criminal proceedings relating to taxes and such, unrelated to the actual mandate is a fool’s errand in my opinion.
Clearly Floridians don’t want I.C.E. dismantled.
GPR
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