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A very interesting election 2004 Poll
  May 30, 2004

An interesting an provocative poll by the King of public opinion insight. A random telephone sample of 840 Canadians between May 24 and 31st, 2004. This survey was conducted in 30 federal constituencies in BC, Alberta, Sask, Manitoba, and Ontario. 20 federal consituencies are considered urban and 10 rural. More respondents were contacted in more constituencies in Ontario than in the other provinces involved. This survey has a margin of error of 3.75%, 18 times out of 20 @ 98%.

Question #1
Did you vote in the last federal general election?
Yes    96.90 %
Question #2
Are you male or female?
Female    50.20 %
Male    49.90 %
Question #3
Do you intend to vote in the federal general election scheduled approximately one month from today?
Yes    94.40 %
No    4.30 %
Question #4
In the last federal general election for which party did you vote?
federal liberals    38.70 %
Progressive Conservatives    9.80 %
NDP    10.60 %
Canadian Alliance    34.40 %
Question #5
If the federal general election were held tomorrow, for which leader and party would you cast your vote?
Paul Martin and federal Liberal party    30.5 %
Stephen Harper and Conservative Party    37.10 %
Jack Layton and NDP    26.60 %
Question #6
In your opinion should Canada's next Prime Minister ban or otherwise prohibit the sale of ammunition or other munitions from existing Canadian businesses to the United States military?
Yes    24.00 %
No    67.90 %
Commentary
Federal liberal support is falling steadily in this strategic calling environment. Liberals numbers in all English provinces west of Quebec are dropping, particularly in Ontario and BC. The Conservatives have made a very serious push into Ontario and this battle is fully engaged. New Democrat Jack Layton has found his 'messages' early and is capitalizing on support of no more nonsense soccer moms who have heard enough liberal 'talk'. The vast majority of respondents would not ban the sale of ammunitions or munitions to the U.S. military. If Canadians want the next Canadian government to continue to sell ammunition and munitions to the U.S. military, than shouldn't peacekeeping troops be considered for Iraq in the tradition of Lester B. Pearson?

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