Robbins SCE Research
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In depth research in Coquitlam pre civic election (Vancouver suburb pop. 130k)
  Nov 08, 2005

A representative sample (not digit dialing) of 9,165 Coquitlam residents who are eligible to vote, between November 1 and November 6, 2005. This survey has a margin of error of 2.45%, 19 times out of 20 @99% competency factor.

Question #1
Which of the following BC political parties do you most support at this time?
Adriane Carr and BC Green Party    05 %
Carole James and New Democratic Party    48 %
Gordon Campbell and BC Liberal Party    44 %
Undecided/Other    03 %
Question #2
Please think about Coquitlam’s current Mayor Jon Kingsbury for a moment. When you think of his record as Mayor of Coquitlam which of the following two choices BEST depicts how you see Jon Kingsbury?
I’m of the opinion that a change in Coquitlam politics would be good for the city    64 %
I’m of the opinion that keeping Jon Kingsbury on as Mayor is a positive thing for the city    36 %
    %
    %
Question #3
Please think about city councilor Maxine Wilson who is running for Mayor this election. When you think of her record as city councillor and her objective to win the Mayor’s chair, which of the following two choices BEST depicts how you see Maxine Wilson?
I’m of the opinion that Maxine Wilson as Mayor would be a positive change for the city    54 %
I’m of the opinion that Maxine Wilson as Mayor is NOT the best thing for the city    38 %
Question #4
In Coquitlam civic politics the Mayor and each of eight city councillors has one vote. Which of the following statements BEST reflects your voting preference for city councillor:
I prefer to vote for my city councillor on a case-by-case basis, with each city councillor running independently and not tied down to a team or slate format    55.5 %
I prefer to vote for a slate or team of city councillors who are working together towards a common set of objectives    44.5 %
Question #5
In your opinion do you approve or disapprove of the direction that development is taking in the city of Coquitlam?
Approve    35.5 %
Disapprove    64.5 %
Question #6
Generally, if you are involved in a situation that you do not approve of, what type of action would you take to alter that situation?
I will confront a negative situation directly and without apology. I like to say what is on my mind    28 %
I like to deal firmly with a situation but I prefer to use tact, and tread carefully    25 %
I deal with situations that I don’t like in a very non-confrontational way, using an indirect approach to solve the problem    47 %
Question #7
Is it fair and reasonable to suggest that you receive your information about Coquitlam City including regarding candidates in the upcoming civic election from?
Local newspapers, T.V. and radio    39 %
On-Line/Internet    19 %
Friends/Neighbours    38 %
No Answer    04 %
Question #8
Do you approve of the way Premier Gordon Campbell handled the teacher’s strike?
Yes    43 %
No    55 %
Undecided    02 %
Question #9
If it were up to you and you had to cast the deciding vote on one of two of the following projects, which of the following would you vote for in Coquitlam:
A huge housing development project so that more families could be welcomed to our wonderful city    41 %
A large city park that both Coquitlam families and visitors could enjoy    59 %
Undecided    01 %
Question #10
When it comes to development in Coquitlam which approach to you prefer in terms of selecting the type of developer that is best for the city.
I prefer the large out of town developers that have the experience to do the best job    40 %
I prefer local developers who I expect would take a greater interest in Coquitlam’s needs    60 %
Question #11
Which of the following choices BEST describes your choice for Mayor (if you had to pick one).
All things being relatively equal I would prefer a woman for Mayor    34 %
All things being relatively equal I would prefer a man for Mayor    32 %
No Answer/Gender doesn’t matter    34 %
Question #12
Which of the following choices BEST describes your favourite ideological composition for city council this time around?
I would prefer a city council that is ideologically slightly left of center    26 %
I would prefer a city council that is ideologically slightly right of center    23 %
I would prefer a city council that is ideologically quite right of center    21 %
I would prefer a city council that is ideologically quite left of center    06 %
I would prefer a city council that is right in the center    25 %
Question #13
Which of these following two statements BEST describes you:
I prefer a strong environmental policy to a strong development policy    26 %
I prefer a strong development policy to a strong environmental policy    25 %
I believe that the environment and development are equally important    49 %
Question #14
Do you agree or disagree with this statement: I think Senator Hillary Clinton would make a good U.S. President
Agree    39 %
Disagree    37 %
Undecided/Don’t Care    24 %
Question #15
On November 19, 2005 who are you most likely to vote for your next Mayor?
City councillor Maxine Wilson    50 %
Current Mayor Jon Kingsbury    41 %
Challenger Harry Warren    6.5 %
Commentary
Commentary on the data: Question #1-An overwhelming majority of respondents who select Adriane Carr and Green or Carole James and NDP choose Mayoral candidate Maxine Wilson. An overwhelming majority of respondents who choose Gordon Campbell and BC Liberal party choose incumbent Mayor Jon Kingsbury. Mayoral challenger Harry Warren takes away Campbell BC Liberal support and a minority of provincial ‘undecided’.
Question #2-Virtually all respondents who support Green or New Democrat believe that a change in Coquitlam politics “would be good for the city.” This preference prevails even among some BC Liberal supporters in this poll, and their desire to keep Mayor Jon Kingsbury.
Question #3-An unequivocal majority of respondents in this poll see Mayoral challenger and longtime city councillor Maxine Wilson as a ‘symbol of positive change’ for the city. Those respondents who do not think Maxine Wilson would “is NOT the best thing for the city” virtually all believe Jon Kingsbury should be kept as Mayor. Undecided predominantly choose Harry Warren for Mayor or remain undecided.
Question #4-Slightly more than one-half of respondents prefer to vote for city councillor on a case by case basis with slightly less than one half who prefer a slate or a team. Respondents reflect ‘changing loyalties’ from their responses in other questions, with more women inclined to support a team, and more men who prefer an independent candidate. Maxine Wilson appears to benefit from Jon Kingsbury’s establishment of the Coquitlam First slate of candidates as those female respondents who select a slate or team still choose Maxine Wilson over Jon Kingsbury.
Question #5-The vast majority of respondents do not approve of the direction development is taking (or has taken). Most respondents who select this choice are already fed up with City Hall’s direction on development. Coquitlam First candidate Ken Woodward says development is not an issue in this campaign, and he may be right. His leader, Jon Kingsbury at least according to this poll is already taking it on the chin for development policies perceived to be his doing.
Question #6-Slightly more than one-quarter of respondents deal with “negative situations” “directly and without apology”. Men and women who are “firm..but use tact” are split and include about one quarter of respondents. Slightly less than one half of respondents is less confrontational and prefers “an indirect approach to solving a problem”.
Question #7-Mayor Jon Kingsbury attracts a slight majority of respondents who ‘get their news info’ from conventional sources like newspapers, radio and television. Maxine Wilson attracts an overwhelming number of respondents who get their political information Online/Internet. A majority of respondents who get information from friends/neighbours also support Maxine Wilson.
Question #8- The vast majority of women respondents do not support Premier Gordon Campbell’s handling of the teachers strike. Men are more inclined to support the Premier and his party’s handling of this recent ‘negotiation’.
Question #9- Approximately (43%) or women choose housing development in this question over parks. Only a slight majority of men choose housing over parks. A solid majority of respondents choose the park option to the housing development option.
Question #10 Approximately (40%) of women choose and ‘outside developer with expertise’ compared to (57%) who choose a developer from within Coquitlam. Respondents in this poll are sick of the big name developers doing so much of the building in the city, and would prefer one who lives in the region and whose employees live in the region. Coquitlam’s mess with leaky condos is partly to blame for the perception that big outside developers do not take a real interest in the needs of the city’s future.
Question #11-More respondents who “all things being equal” would select a female Mayor over a male one are themselves female, however a reasonably high minority of men respondents do as well. Relatively speaking, fewer women “all things being equal” would select a man for Mayor.
Question #12-Of respondents who are NOT ‘right in the center of the political spectrum’ (42%) are ‘left of center’ and (58%) see themselves as right of center. The vast majority of respondents ‘right in the center’ support Maxine Wilson for Mayor.
Question #13- Although virtually all of the center left respondents choose strong environment policy and center right respondents choose strong development policy, many respondents who are ‘right in the center’ view both policies as “equally important”.
Question #14- A similar distribution of men and women respondents who prefer’ all things being equal’ a women for Mayor agree Hillary Clinton would make a good U.S. President. Respondents who are ‘quite right of center’ do not agree that Hillary Clinton would make a good U.S. President, with most respondents who are ‘slight right of center selecting ‘Undecided/Don’t Care’.
Question 15- Maxine Wilson virtually owns the Green and NDP support in this poll. She also takes away a residual number of BC Liberal supporters from Jon Kingsbury. Mayoral challenger Harry Warren receives support from respondents who are ‘quite right’ in ideology or are undecided in many other questions in this survey. Jon Kingsbury captures most of the BC Liberal support, but makes no inroads with NDP or Green supporters.
Insight-This comprehensive poll of Coquitlam city prior to the upcoming civic election reflects the future of public opinion polling, as we know it. Huge polling conglomerates situated mostly ‘back east’ have for decades retained a monopoly on polling data under the auspices of ‘science’. At this time in history this so-called ‘science’ serves only to protect the control of the industry and to support the status quo in academia. The courts, to ensure control of the institution by lawyers and to repel ordinary citizens from accessing justice on their own, have long used this archaic approach to control and ‘credibility’. ROBBINS believes that a new standard of polling has been developed one, which will enhance the viability and the credibility of accurate public opinion for decades to come.
This poll reflects to a large extent that by tracking individual respondents through a series of ‘superior question development’, researchers are able to make better predictions, or at a minimum develop superior theories regarding the cultures they diagnose.
The science of the major polling outfits is flawed from the ‘get go’. It isn’t just smaller samples, it is also the gathering of data from individuals often making minimum wage, and than extrapolating that data through a series of complex mathematic equations. ‘more complex’ and thus their opinion over a myriad of subject matter as this relates to the political industry will alter as well. Respondents are no longer so easily labeled. Moreover, politicians who feel afraid to deal with the realities of circumstances that confront them use polling itself only in a rudimentary fashion. Ironically, this is the same difficulty that business leaders confront, which has ultimately led to efficiencies in corporations declining over the past twenty years to 40% above public sector organizations to only 10%. ROBBINS has asserted for many years now that this isn’t the way to conduct good polls. As the world ‘shrinks’ people have become individually
ROBBINS uses a special combination of question development and relative simple statistical oversight and data compilation designed in conjunction with basic social science application to create ‘micro diagnosis’ of relative cultures.
Historically major polling organizations have been disinclined to go into political settings like smaller cities and municipalities owing the lack of proper historical basis from which to initiate such activities. Indeed, in the last civic election in Coquitlam in 2002 less than one quarter of eligible voters cast their ballot.
ROBBINS does not believe that this is a prohibitive setting from which to conduct reasonably accurate public opinion and our history to date proves that unequivocally.
In this sample culture, Coquitlam, we are able to determine a number of factors, which go against incumbent Mayor Jon Kingsbury ability to be re-elected (which had he been more prudent he would have identified many weeks ago). First and foremost, there continues to be a sense of political change demanded for the city. Secondly, Jon Kingsbury has a poor track record on transportation and development amongst the majority of the citizens (and he is perceived to be a developer friendly Mayor). Third there is a continued erosion or backlash against the BC Liberal government in Victoria and Premier Gordon Campbell particularly which was emphasized during the recent teacher’s strike. As a consequence the center of the political spectrum in Coquitlam has (sic) ‘moved to the right’. Out of 100% of the left if (L1) and the right is (R99) than statistically the center is (L29) to (R54).
In other words nearly (85%) of respondents who believe they are ‘in the center of the political spectrum are actually left of center relative to all other respondents. Accordingly Maxine Wilson is perceived along with the New Democratic Party of BC to be in the center of the political spectrum while Gordon Campbell and his BC Liberals are perceived to be center right, with some ‘quite right’ respondents unable to accept the Liberal label which to them is inconsistent with their personal belief system of what a Liberal is. Our ‘quick test’ question about Hillary Clinton helped to secure the hypothesis on this account as many who supported her as a good President were from the center of the political spectrum and yet again others who supported the BC Liberal party also supported her or at least did not DISAGREE with the premise that she would make a good U.S. President.

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