| Belinda Stronach-a new chromosome in federal politics-these numbers you gotta see!! |
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Mar 16, 2004 |
| A combined computer and random telephone survey of 2,250 respondents throughout designated areas of British Columbia, Manitoba, and Ontario between March 10-16, 2004. The survey is adjusted for population and based on voter participation in each province relative to registered voters in the last federal election, and features a margin of error of 3.2%, 18 times out of 20 @ 97% competency. |
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Question #1
Considering the recent sponsorship scandals involving the federal government, and a general sense of voter discontent at all levels of government, would you be more inclined to vote for a candidate with no political experience whatsoever, simply to take a fresh step?
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Question #2
In your opinion, can an individual who has run a very large multinational corporation make a successful transition to become political leader of a country, sufficient to do a capable job?
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Question #3
What is the liklihood that you would vote for Belinda Stronach for Prime Minister, to replace Paul Martin and the federal Liberal party?
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| Likely |
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19.02 % |
| Somewhat likely |
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28.00 % |
| Not Likely |
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53.02 % |
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Question #4
If a federal election were held two weeks from today, which one of the following leaders and their party would you most prefer?
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| A. Stephen Harper and Conservative Party of Canada-29.64%; B. Paul Martin and Liberal Party of Canada-39.20%; C. Jack Layton and New Democratic Party-21.82% D. None of these-5.60%; E. I don't know-3.74% |
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% |
| Commentary |
| The recent ad scandals in Quebec and general voter discontent with all politicians, reduces the value that voters are placing on experience in politics (62%). The fact that a person can run a large multinational corporation ameliorates the need to have political experience at the top (52%). |
| Stephen Harper may have most of the support of the Conservative Party membership, but he can't win Prime Minister, and isn't likely to force a minority government following the anticipated federal election in spring 2004. |
| For the new Conservative Party of Canada to achieve success, it will ultimately have to focus on electability and not sentiment. Mr. Harper is a known quantity. He will do well as Conservative leader, even increase seat totals for the new party, but he will have to struggle to force a minority government. This is largely due to the fact that he cannnot conquer Ontario, and certainly not Quebec. Ms. Stronach as a newcomer is an unknown quantity, but in terms of women, NDP swing voters, discouraged liberals, neo-conservatives and progressive conservatives has a much more attracitve upside than downside. |
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