| Commentary |
| Outcomes: |
| Conservative |
| BC (32%), Alberta (54%), Saskatchewan (46%), Manitoba (47%), Ontario (35%), Quebec (16%), New Brunswick (36%), Nova Scotia (31%). PEI (34%), Newfoundland and Labrador (34%). |
| Liberal |
| BC (30%), Alberta (22%), Saskatchewan (27%), Manitoba (28%), Ontario (41%), Quebec (28%), New Brunswick (34%), Nova Scotia (39%), PEI (35%) Newfoundland and Labrador (37%). |
| The federal Conservative government is down (11%) from election totals achieved in the last general federal election in October, 2008. The federal Liberal Opposition is up (22%) under new leader Michael Ignatieff. |
| Conservatives have seen support fall most dramatically in the province of British Columbia, have lost noteworthy support in Ontario and continue to do relatively poorly in the province of Quebec. |
| The federal Liberals have improved significantly in British Columbia since the last election and are performing well in Ontario and Quebec. |
| Gilles Duceppe and Bloc Quebecois have increased popular support and are trending upward. |
| A clear majority of respondents are of the opinion that the federal government should meet the demands for Employment Insurance. These demands are highest in British Columbia, Ontario, Quebec, and Atlantic provinces. |
| A clear majority of respondents are of the opinion that the federal government should modify requirements for eligibility. These opinions are highest in British Columbia, Ontario, Quebec and Atlantic provinces. |
| The vast majority of respondents are of the opinion that EI payments should be available between 3 and 5 weeks. |
| Commentary: |
| Unemployment rates are up in most provinces particularly in Atlantic Canada including Newfoundland and Labrador (15%), Prince Edward Island (12.5%), Nova Scotia (10%).
Unemployment is also higher in Ontario (9.0%) and Quebec (8.5%). British Columbia has now risen to (7.5%). Prairie provinces like Alberta (06%), Saskatchewan (05%) and Manitoba (4.5%) are doing better than the national average. |
| Liberal Opposition leader Michael Ignatieff has indicated he was willing to call an election predicated on Employment Insurance---on its face a bold statement. |
| However consider this statement from Statistics Canada. “Employment grew by 36,000 in April 09, the result of an increase in self-employment.” |
| Our most (anecdotal) research indicates that first EI payments are taking as long as 50 to 60 days to get to applicants. This would not be acceptable to most Canadians. |
| Employment Insurance rates quoted by governments are often under reported. Historically the number provided is based on those persons looking for work. A large percentage of persons who have “given up” looking for work are not properly considered in the figures. To suggest that these numbers may be explained by people starting new businesses (self employed) in down economic times in light of this reality is a little troublesome. |
| Quebecers --as this ROBBINS poll suggests are losing confidence in their federal government and increasing looking to the separatist party Bloc Quebecois as their party of choice. |