| Commentary |
| Support is waning for Canada's Conservative Party and leader Stephen Harper. Down 5% since first elected to government in 2006 -- and 6% since the last federal general election in Canada in October 2008 -- voters in this ZEUS ROBBINS poll in the majority are not overly enamored with government's performance right now - heading toward the billion dollar G8 G20 meetings scheduled for Ontario - in the coming weeks. |
| Things may not be as bad for the Conservatives as it first appears by their obvious dwindling support among Canadians. Michael Ignatieff and his Liberal Party of Canada -- are no better maintaining national totals consistent with their poor performance in the 2008 federal election when Stephane Dion was leader of the party |
| It has been clear for a long time that New Democrats and Greens are severely prejudiced by the current electoral format (first past the post). Proportional Representation models are too complex for voters to consider -- particularly when they are kept busy trying to determine how much the fun and frolic their elected MP's are having and at what cost? |
| Electoral reform is obviously necessary -- Stephen Harper and his Conservatives can be very mediocre and remain unthreatened by Opposition parties -- through simple divide and conquer. Conservatives sit on a 30% base with underlying 8.2% 'support of their support (based on indication of support followed by question on a scale of support "5" the lowest and "10" the highest -- using whole and half numbers only what number reflects your level of support for XXXX?)AND with four Opposition parties fighting over the other 65% -- do the math. The Prime Minister and his caucus could likely show up nude to Parliament and still remain unthreatened. |
| Conservatives have lost national total through a decline of 10% (33%) in Ontario, (33%) in B.C. - which produced a (46%)vote outcome in election 2008 -- a sharp decline in Alberta (with 17% Green totals -- in Alberta)--small percentage declines in Saskatchewan and Manitoba (from 2008) -- (17%) in Quebec, but increased total in Nova Scotia (30%), and Newfoundland and Labrador (29%)-- the Conservatives remain in the driver's seat in Canadian politics -- it's just an average car though. |
| The Liberal Party of Canada has deplorable support in western Canada -- but holds well in Ontario and Toronto (38%), with status quo in Quebec and the Maritimes (save for where the Conservatives have gotten a bump). |
| The New Democrats are holding their own and increasing in some areas of the country -- including British Columbia up 20% + to (32%). |
| The Green Party is one which most every mainstream pollster -- overrates in terms of public support. ZEUS ROBBINS (ROBBINS Sce Research 1998) have been contradicting these polls for years properly scoring Canada's environmental party. Not now though -- voters are watching the Gulf of Mexico spewing the dark oozing reason why the countries fight one another -- and the reason the world could conceivably perish -- oil. For years we have been told that a disaster of this type would not happen -- and generally speaking -- the perception was drill baby drill -- No more. |
| BP has ruined the trust factor for oil companies -- and Canadians don't need to have the leak in their backyard to understand they don't want this to happen in Canada. |
| The perception among most Canadians opposed to the Conservative government of Canada -- is that they are in the 'charge' of big finance, big business, and big oil companies (53%). |
| The Harper government has been pretty thin on environmental policy -- and is perceived as being too loose with business and others in terms of regulatory policy. |
| Quebecors do not have a good impression of the Harper government on the environment -- as well over (80%) of decided 'voters' from that province -- call for a moratorium on new offshore drilling -- (what -- me worry I got 30%) |
| The Gulf of Mexico Earth disaster will probably eclipse the G8/G20 meetings -- as Canadian voters and others continue to express a declining interest in all democratic leaders and countries, particularly after the nice little robbery of the people's loot for big business -- this is new crowd -- walking around in nice clothes looking leaderly--has lost its lustre. People want action on the environment ("screw global warming") - and aren't interested in all the fancy talk associated with most recent attempts to fleece the people to pay for bureaucratic largesse--, the people want their resources including their land, water and air regulated -- everyone knows -- everyone has seen BP start to finger point-- possession is 9/10's of the law in unregulated and uncivil environments -- that's what the world reflects to the people now. |
| And Government of Canada -- forgetting to talk about the 75 billion in mortage buy-outs from banks -- what are we calling this precisely?
An MP expense? |
| Credibility is low -- the Government of Canada has to give the people something to aspire to -- accountability -- transparency -- words -- like anarchy -- protest -- civil unrest -- change your ways --- placing a moratorium on any new offshore activity would be a good place to start gaining the people's confidence back. |
| 1,425 'voters' interviewed between May 15-24, 2010 (per province to be added later). Including underlying support rating -- ZEUS methodology (science based on sample size) rates the Margin of Error at 1.75% higher or lower 19 times out of 20 @ 95% confidence. ZEUS ROBBINS is the most accurate pollster in the World. |
| First published 5:00 PM, May 26, 2010 |
