| Commentary |
| (68%) of decided respondents from question #1 choose another party other than the government Conservatives-while (72%) of decided respondents reject Jack Layton and “a new Liberal Democratic Party in Canada” from question 2. Jack Layton just isn’t quite strong enough to challenge Stephen Harper -- (the thought should be crossing a few minds after this though). |
| Conservatives score as follows (decided): Ontario (34.5%); Quebec (15%); British Columbia (33%); Alberta (57%); Manitoba (42%); Saskatchewan (49%); Atlantic Provinces (34%). |
| The Conservative Party of Canada continues to attract weak support in Quebec - is weaker in British Columbia, but scratching back from low 30’s percent in Ontario--Conservatives dominate the western prairie provinces--with Manitoba showing a propensity for marginal to and fro shifting from one party to another and Undecided. Quebec has an HST but collects it own money -- because in truth Quebec really is half-sovereign now. Language - law - its own Federal party--and a provincial party that’s moving to government like a locomotive. |
| Liberals score as follows (decided): Ontario (37.5%); Quebec (23%); British Columbia (24%); Alberta (20.5%); Manitoba (28%); Saskatchewan (27%); Atlantic Provinces (43%). |
| The Liberal Party of Canada dominates the Atlantic Provinces -- holds a lead in seat rich Ontario -- leads ‘other than the Bloc’ by a margin -- and is scratching and clawing back to respectability in the western provinces. |
| Jack Layton’s Liberal Democratic Party scores as follows (decided): Ontario (31.5%); Quebec (26%); British Columbia (45%), Alberta (24%); Manitoba (42.5%); Saskatchewan (40.5%); Atlantic Provinces (31%). I really like these numbers. |
| Jack Layton’s Liberal Democratic Party attracts more respondent support than the Conservative Party of Canada in Quebec and British Columbia -- is equal in support in Manitoba and close in Ontario, Saskatchewan and the Atlantic Provinces--- |
| ---beats the Liberal Party of Canada in Quebec, British Columbia, Alberta, Manitoba, and Saskatchewan---I know what you’re thinking right now -- God can this guy poll -- Am I right? -- c’mon Canada -- don’t be stuck up -- it promotes unattractive product (media - political industry). |
| Despite not being finance minister of the Liberal Party of Canada for nearly a decade, former prime minister Paul Martin scores big against current finance minister of Canada--Jim Flaherty// -- may have as much to do with name recognition/Flaherty is certainly a known political commodity though --. No matter, we wanted to see where the chips would fall--look at both of the finance ministers numbers in Ontario--stellar--. |
| At ZEUS we believe the high confidence numbers for both Canadian finance ministers in this poll -- suggest Canadians say -- ‘okay -- you don’t always tell the truth --the billion plus was nuts -- let’s talk about it and what went down in Toronto -- but Canada is looking good/we are a very pretty country right now//Canada is like Becky in Sunnybrook-(or Sunnyvale) -- (and) with Paul Martin’s high numbers they are saying -- ‘okay we get it ---we rule on finance’ --- but (to the Conservatives) ‘your only other domestic policy strength is crime- (and now it’s look confused -- billions for prisons no money where it belongs, a billion and one half for security/with no rationale for the accounting -- but no real evidence -- no sense that they understand or believe that getting in front of problems with early dollars --alleged left wing principle-- with people -- which is the premise for government’s existence---is the only solution -- this blind spot opens the door for Paul Martin to address the issues other than finance---that Canadians want to talk about -- Afghanistan, high crime costs, health, education, and the environment-the latter cannot continue to be so easily evaded -- |
| Paul Martin: Ontario (45%); Quebec (30%); British Columbia (32%); Alberta (29%); Manitoba (45%), Saskatchewan (44%); Atlantic Provinces (46%)-- |
| Jim Flaherty: Ontario (38%); Quebec (24%); British Columbia (36%); Alberta (60%); Manitoba (36%); Saskatchewan (44%); Atlantic Provinces (37%); |
| Undecided/All Other: Ontario (15%); Quebec (46%); British Columbia (32%); Alberta (11%); Manitoba (19%); Saskatchewan (12%); Atlantic Provinces (15%). |
| Assessment of question 1 by random comparison: |
| In question 1 there are 7 response choices including Undecided, 6 if Undecided is excluded. The Conservative Party of Canada would randomly score (14.28%) based on 7 response choices - in fact they score (32.50%) or 2.27 times random based on 7 response choices. |
| The Liberal Party of Canada scores (30.55%) or 2.14 times random based on 7 response choices. The New Democratic Party of Canada scores (18.82%) or 1.32 times random. |
| Ranking of response choices by ZEUS polling points: |
| Number one respondent - The Conservative Party of Canada - topping the charts with 2,867,200 ZEUS (straw) polling points. |
| Number two respondent - Liberal Party of Canada - something to cheer about --2,545,263 ZEUS polling points. |
| Number three -- oh my oh me -- Paul Martin is one move --- I seen him hunting around the news rooms -- looking real good -- talking things Canadians will likely listen to ---former Prime Minister of Canada -- leader of the Liberal Party of Canada--seems more down to earth ----- I smell a comeback with these numbers
2,111,763 ZEUS polling points. |
| Number four//open the door -- for--Conservative Party of Canada finance minister-- Jim Flaherty with 1,783,323 ZEUS polling points. |
| Number five/man alive/New Democratic Party of Canada - things still moving along--can you bust a move? --- let me know so that I can see it--- 963,487 ZUES polling points. |
| Lucky number six --- he’s up to his old tricks -- Gentleman Jack ‘Light the Lantern’ Layton tucks in with his new Liberal Democratic party -- and a very respectable 921,563 ZEUS polling points--when you draw Liberals and Undecided something is moving you forward. |
| The Conservative Party of Canada continues just ahead of a packed crowd of political parties, (potential political party’s) and the ministers of finance we apparently still love- |
| A reputation for good fiscal management is becoming Canada’s call in trade -- Conservative finance minister Jim Flaherty wasn’t in the job as long as Paul Martin--these are good numbers in any poll. Prime Minister Stephen Harper continues to impress -- the World -- how is he really doing?---a nice hold on one third of eligible voters--Stephen Harper and The Conservative Party of Canada can fight off the ropes---./Stephen Harper can ride like a stallion and haul like a Clydesdale--there are times I feel he goes to the wrong barn but he’s obviously a winner. |
| The Liberal Party of Canada brand is still fine -- this isn’t to suggest that Michael Ignatieff isn’t a factor -- we just asked brand -- however I would wager that these improved numbers for the Liberal party are legitimately Ignatieff’s as well. The difficulty in these numbers* is that Jack Layton and Liberal Democratic party seduces far too many Liberals from question #1. I think the Liberal Democratic brand has intrinsic value--for the best eligible sportsman. |
| This Paul Martin is just a bit cheeky isn’t he? He’s right there with the Liberal Party of Canada numbers -- but AHEAD if you subtract the traitors over to Jack ‘the Jewel” Layton in question There is some pining over Paul Martin/we don’t believe its actually against Michael Ignatieff / sometimes the right politician hit’s a hotspot and they are required to do their thing/ they are political actors and people take their cues. -- |
| These numbers remind me of a ROBBINS Sce Research (1998) poll a couple of months prior to the 2006 Canadian general federal election. Paul Martin was Prime Minister and Stephen Harper was the Opposition leader. National radio -- anyhow some radio station in Saskatchewan--picked up the poll and I did an interview -- predicting the eventual Harper minority government I ---victory. The host and his guests kind of giggled at me--commenting frequently that I was a pollster from Vancouver, BC (like I was stoned--with my prediction). I throw for a bulls eye -- that’s my goal -- and I hit the mark - (stoned or not). |
| My company suggested that Harper started the election at 32% with Paul Martin falling-- while the mainstream had Harper between 24-28% and Martin cresting upward. Accurately predicting this election was important to me falling on the deadly accurate prediction of George W. Bush’s 2004 presidential victory. After so many satisfying successes -- the Pinnacle -- going against the grain and accurately predicting U.S. President Barack Obama --- President ---the metaphoric predictions of future events---is the curse and that my friend is Smithsonian Art. |
| If Obama wins a second term I’m going to make the Rockefellers look poor). |
| I like Jim Flaherty -- if I could have a friend -- I could hang around with -- and have a burger and a beer -- I’d pick Jim Flaherty. He went through a strongly suggested recession -- swapped some taxpayer money--pretended the $75 billion dollar transfer of bad mortgages held by Canada’s big banks -- onto taxpayers wasn’t help -- and apparently enough people believed the mantra -- or no-one noticed. A little chilly. But other countries like and appreciate Canada -- and part of the reason---Harper can rely on his International strength (I would bet if you asked folks from G8 countries which International leader is most respect--Harper might challenge Obama--), this allows his second Jim Flaherty to fill in on the domestic front as the countries political accountant -- |
