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glen p robbins - Total Recall - Straw Poll #1 (Interior BC)
  Aug 26, 2010

Question #1
Will you support and participate in the Recall of your elected BC provincial MLA this fall if the Harmonized Sales Tax (HST) is not gotten rid of prior to this November 1, 2010? (results rounded to nearest one half percent)
Yes    57 %
No    22.5 %
Undecided    20.5 %
Question #2
Do you support the return of former Social Credit premier Bill Vander Zalm to politics in BC?
Yes    43 %
No    31 %
Undecided    26 %
Question #3
In your opinion are the federal Conservatives under Stephen Harper partially to blame for British Columbia’s HST problems?
Yes    42.5 %
No    37 %
Undecided    20.5 %
Commentary
A majority of respondents in this glen p robbins ‘straw poll’ of 185 residents of Kamloops, Vernon, Penticton, Kelowna, and Salmon Arm have indicated that they will “support and participate in the Recall of their (sic) elected BC provincial MLA this fall if the Harmonized Sales Tax (HST) is not gotten rid of prior to this November 1, 2010.”
The margin of error in a straw poll of this quaint size 7.2% - in the Interior of the province suggests that on the downside (43%) - support Recall and thus might not be successful, but on the upside (71%) ---it could be overwhelmingly successful with (71.5%) of decided respondents in this glen p robbins straw poll saying they will support and participate in Recall if the HST is “not gotten rid of prior to November 1, 2010.”
Fifty eight per cent (58%) of decided respondents support the return of Bill Vander Zalm to politics in BC - with many of these respondents under the impression “He already has”, while (42%) decided do not want him to return. Some of these latter respondents support Recall of “their (sic) elected BC provincial MLA.”
Zalm support in BC’s Interior ‘lowball’ is (36%) decided, and highball (no relation to Gordon Campbell) is (72%) decided. Resistance to Zalm ranges between (21.5%) decided and (56.5%) decided.
Ten per cent of respondents who support The Zalm’s return however answered “No” in question #1. “Recall will take too long” - to “Recall may not be successful”.
Many respondents of the opinion that the federal Conservatives under PM. Stephen Harper are partially to blame for BC’s HST problem-also- support the return of Bill Vander Zalm to BC politics. There were a few respondents who answered “No” in question #3 - who wish to blame it entirely on Gordon Campbell’s BC Liberals--and may not necessarily support the Harper government.
Blame (partial) against Harper and federal Conservatives ranges from (34%) decided to (68%) decided. Resistance to (partial) blaming Harper et al ranges from (27.5%) decided to (60%) decided. Many who blame the federal Conservatives -- anecdotally professed to be “anti-Ottawa” as well--ironic considering how the Reform-Alliance-Conservatives got to Ottawa in the first place - being - well/anti - Ottawa.
There is a discernable relationship between those respondents from Q#1 who support Recall - and who support return of the Zalm - and who “partially” blame the federal Conservatives and PM Harper for BC’s HST problem.
The message in the Interior of the province is very clearly that the sands of time are moving quickly against BC Liberals (although some respondents indicated they didn’t know what party their MLA was in), toward Total Recall--and Bill Vander Zalm has the influence to ensure that Stephen Harper’s federal Conservative MP’s have no say in the matter.
The Undecided is interesting - in that - at least anecdotally those Undecided in Q#1 seem to want relief from the HST (tax/debate) NOW and don’t want to focus on Recall or other “stalling” tactics - that are frustrating to them. They are not sure about Recall - but don’t support the HST, which might simply affirm the 80% of population who have been against it all along.
The Undecided from Q#2 (anecdotally) - some are see-sawing over a Vander Zalm comeback - while others - see the comeback -- as precipitated by the anti_HST - and like many Undecided from Q#1 can’t draw the line between the need for a political comeback and their desire for the HST to go away. If these Undecided from Q#1 and Q#2 - don’t get relief - could this translate into even higher numbers of support for Vander Zalm - if and when these Citizens decide - that without him - there will be no relief?
The Undecided from Q#3 (anecdotally) --many of whom fit the anecdotal composite of Undecided’s we have referenced from Q#1/Q#2 - -seem less inclined to blame Harper - and maintain a focus of ‘total blame’ on the Campbell BC Liberal government.
I would conjecture that based on this information drawn from respondents in the Interior of BC at this time----that the longer the HST is debated the better for Vander Zalm - and the worse for the BC Liberal government - and by coefficient -- the worse for the Opposition NDP is they don’t move to provide a position which clearly points the way to relief from the HST. Lastly, I would conjecture the longer the HST debate prevails the greater the likelihood that Stephen Harper’s federal Conservatives will share ‘in the blame’.
A random telephone sample of 185 residents of the Interior of the Province of British Columbia between August 22-25, 2010. M.O.E. estimate at 7.2%, 19 times out of 20.

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