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RSR ROBBINS Research - Canada Politics November 11, 2010
  Nov 11, 2010

Vancouver, British Columbia, A ROBBINS Sce Research (1998) random poll of 2,011 Canadians between November 5-11, 2010. The outcomes of this poll have been adjusted on a province by province basis to account for actual gender demographics and Undecided in each province. The Margin of Error is 2.12%, 19 times out of 20 @ 98-99% confidence.

Question #1
Canada is scheduled to remove its troops from Afghanistan next spring/summer 2011. Do you support this scheduled removal of Canadian troops from Afghanistan?
Yes    64.8 %
No    35.2 %
Question #2
There is widespread speculation that some Canadian troops will remain in Afghanistan beyond the spring/summer deadline of 2011, with further speculation that Canada’s military support will in fact continue after that spring/summer 2011 deadline. Do you support an extension of Canada’s troops in Afghanistan beyond the scheduled deadline of spring/summer 2011?
Yes    31.6 %
No    68.4 %
Commentary
This ROBBINS poll published On-Line at 10:38 PST on November 12, 2010 - sets out two questions to determine how Canadians perceive Canada’s future military support in Afghanistan.
Question 1 asks Canadians if they support the “scheduled removal of Canadian troops in Afghanistan?” Clearly the majority of Canadians support the removal of troops next spring/summer 2011. The pressure for removing the troops comes from female respondents particularly in old Canada, Ontario and Quebec where Ontario female respondents in the majority (71%) want the troops removed, and Quebec female respondents in the super majority (92%) want the troops removed from Afghanistan in summer/spring of 2011.
Overall, Ontario respondents in a clear majority (69%) want Canada’s troops removed, while (31%) do not. In Quebec, (82.4%) of the population wants Canada’s troops removed.
The province of Alberta had the highest resistance to removing troops from Afghanistan at (54.5%), while British Columbia and Atlantic Canada (Nova Scotia, New Brunswick, Newfoundland and Labrador, Prince Edward Island) each supported troops being removed in the majority (55%).
Saskatchewan and Manitoba, two of Canada’s western provinces (Manitoba in the middle of the country next to Ontario) were similar in outcomes. Each province supported removal of troops (60%) with support for NOT removing troops at (33%). Females in Manitoba provided responses similar to Quebec with (80%) of those respondents supporting the removal of troops from Afghanistan.
Approximately (75%) of decided female respondents in Canada support the removal of troops in Afghanistan in summer/spring of 2011.
Question #2 clear to many respondents- some believed it was essentially the same question as number 1. To others Question #2 had to be processed under pressure of the interview. It was one thing to ask if troops should go – short and sweet, now we had slightly different considerations – two elements of speculation – the first being that some troops might remain and the second the troops (some, many, all) could remain thereafter. In fact, the actual question refers to an extension “beyond the scheduled deadline."
The overall outcome suggests that Canadians want to be clear – they want the troops out. This sentiment resonated differently in some parts of the country however. In Ontario (69%) of respondents supported Canadian troops leaving Afghanistan, however (70.7%) answered “NO” to an extension of Canada’s troops remaining in Afghanistan. Similarly in Quebec, where (17.6%) of that province’s population is against removing troops from Afghanistan, only (15%) will support an extension for the troops remaining in Afghanistan.
In British Columbia, the outcomes for support of troops in Afghanistan vary little with (55%) supporting removing troops, and (56%) being against an extension. Alberta follows a similar pattern where (54.5%) respond “No” to removing troops in Question 1 and (52.5%) respond “Yes” to an extension in Question 2.
The Atlantic Provinces provide some interesting outcomes as between the two Questions. In Nova Scotia (41%) of male respondents support the removal of troops in Question 1 and (61%) of males supports an extension from Question 2. Similarly in New Brunswick (53%) of male respondents in Question 1 responds “NO” to Canadian troop withdrawal in Question 1 while (61%) of male respondents supports an extension of the schedule for troops in Afghanistan.
In Saskatchewan (63%) of male respondents answer “Yes” to removing Canadian troops in Question 1, while (47%) of male respondents agrees with an extension-a significant variance. In Manitoba (25%) of female respondents answer “NO” to removing Canadian troops in Question 1, and only (2%) support an extension from Question 2-an incredible drop.
Conclusions
Canadian women want the troops out of Afghanistan, while Canadian men are nearly split on the subject with a slight majority in support of removing troops at the scheduled time for withdrawal in spring/summer 2011. At least 8 out of every 10 women in Canada’s largest provinces Ontario and Quebec want the troops out of Afghanistan – a phenomenal number. This overwhelming majority of women against the war in Afghanistan only increase from Question 1 (removal) to Question 2 (extension).
According to Canadians, the Prime Minister and Parliament ought to remove Canadian troops from Afghanistan on schedule. If troops are to remain, there should be conspicuously few, and their efforts in that country should be made clear to Canadians.
Ontario - Question #1 (Women) "Yes" (71%); "No" (11%); Undecided (18%). (Men) "Yes" (34%); "No" (37%); Undecided (19%)--Question #2 (Women) "Yes" (8%); "No" (75%); Undecided (17%). (Men) "Yes" (40%); "No" (58%); Undecided (2%)- Ontario featured 605 respondents, Margin of error 3.98%.
Quebec - Question #1 (Women) "Yes" (92%); "No" (5%); Undecided (3%). (Men) "Yes" (66%); "No" (29%); Undecided (5%). Question #2 (Women) "Yes" (2%); "No" (95%); Undecided (3%). (Men) "Yes" (27%); "No" (60%); Undecided (13%). Quebec featured 305 respondents, Margin of error 5.56%
British Columbia - Question #1 (Women) "Yes" (82%); "No" (16%); Undecided (2%). (Men) "Yes" (24%); "No" (72%); Undecided (4%). Question #2 (Women) "Yes" (14%); No (84%); Undecided (2%). (Men) "Yes" (72%); No (26%); Undecided (2%). B.C. featured 820 respondents, Margin of error 3.42%.
Atlantic Provinces {Nova Scotia} Question #1 (Women) "Yes" (73%); "No (13%); Undecided (14%). (Men) "Yes" (41%); "No" (55%); Undecided (5%). Question #2 (Women) "Yes" (10%); "No" (70%); Undecided (20%). (Men) "Yes" (61%); "No" (35%); Undecided (4%). {New Brunswick} Question #1 (Women) "Yes" (62%); "No" (31%); Undecided (7%). (Men) "Yes" (28%); "No" (53%); Undecided (19%). Question #2 (Women) "Yes" (27%); "No" (67%); Undecided (6%). (Men) "Yes" (55%); "No" (30%); Undecided (15%). {Newfoundland and Labrador} Question #1 (Women) "Yes" (72%); "No" (21%); Undecided (7%). (Men) "Yes" (48%); "No" (43%); Undecided (9%). Question #2 (Women) "Yes" (18%); "No" (77%); Undecided (5%). (Men) "Yes" (45%); "No" (47%); Undecided (8%). Atlantic Provinces featured 103 respondents, Margin of error 9.66%.
Alberta - Question #1 (Women) "Yes" (59%); "No" (31%); Undecided (11%). (Men) "Yes" (24%); "No" (71%); Undecided (5%). Question #2 (Women) "Yes" (30%); "No" (57%); Undecided (13%). (Men) "Yes" (74%); "No" (21%); Undecided (5%). Alberta featured 70 respondents, Margin of error 11.71%
Manitoba - Question #1 (Women) "Yes" (62%); "No" (25%); Undecided (13%). (Men) "Yes" (60%); "No" (30%); Undecided (10%). Question #2 (Women) "Yes" (25%); "No" (65%); Undecided (10%). (Men) "Yes" (85%); "No" (2%); Undecided (13%). 52 respondents featured in Manitoba, Margin of error 13.59%
Saskatchewan - Question #1 (Women) "Yes" (56%); "No" (41%); Undecided (3%). (Men) "Yes" (63%); "No" (27%); Undecided (10%). Question #2 (Women) "Yes" (26%); "No" (65%); Undecided (9%). (Men) "Yes" (47%); "No" (51%); Undecided (2%). 50 respondents featured in Saskatchewan, Margin of error 13.86%

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