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RSR - and BC Liberal supporters select George Abbott - next Premier of B.C.
  Nov 23, 2010

A targeted sample of 214 BC Liberal supporters (not necessarily Gordon Campbell supporters) in the North and Interior and Lower Mainland of British Columbia between November 19-22, 2010. This survey has a margin of error of 6.84% plus or minus, 19 times out of 20 @95% confidence.

Question #1
From the list of potential candidates provided, which of the following would you most like to see become leader of the BC Liberal Party and next Premier of British Columbia on February 26, 2011? (not rotated)
Shuswap MLA George Abbott (73)    34.1 %
Langley MLA Rich Coleman (39)    18.2 %
CKNWís Christy Clark (30)    14.0 %
Abbotsford MLA Mike de Jong (15)    7.0 %
Surrey MLA Kevin Falcon (10)    4.7 %
Undecided/Canít Answer (47)    22.0 %
Question #2
From the list of potential candidates provided, which of the following would you most like to see become leader of the BC Liberal Party and next Premier of British Columbia on February 26, 2011? (not rotated)(North and Interior - 53)
George Abbott (29)    54.7 %
Rich Coleman (11)    20.8 %
Christy Clark (8)    15.1 %
Mike de Jong (0)    0 %
Kevin Falcon (0)    0 %
Undecided/Can't Answer (5)    9.4 %
Question #3
From the list of potential candidates provided, which of the following would you most like to see become leader of the BC Liberal Party and next Premier of British Columbia on February 26, 2011? (not rotated)(Lower Mainland - 161)
George Abbott (44)    27.3 %
Rich Coleman (28)    17.4 %
Christy Clark (22)    13.7 %
Mike de Jong (15)    9.3 %
Kevin Falcon (10)    6.2 %
Commentary
George Abbott from Shuswap in the North and Interior of the province of British Columbia is odds on favourite to win the BC Liberal leadership based on this poll of BC Liberal supporters in the North and Interior (Okanagan, Peace River, Prince George and Kootenay regions), and Lower Mainland of British Columbia (Fraser Valley, Surrey, Tri-City, Burnaby, Vancouver, Richmond, West Vancouver). Abbott attracts better than double the support of Langley Rich Coleman in the North and Interior of B.C. while Rich Coleman and Christy Clark combined attract slightly higher support than George Abbott in the Lower Mainland of the province.
New Democrat internal party dissension is strongest in the North and Interior making George Abbott a smart strategic choice as BC Liberal leader. The new BC Liberal Party format for scoring among members also provides Abbott with a clear advantage. He will likely receive support from Independentís Blair Lekstrom and Bill Bennett, making any rationale for any of the other choices, specifically Rich Coleman or Christy Clark - irrelevant. Both Mike de Jong and Kevin Falcon have no chance of winning, but could play a minor role in deciding the new BC Liberal leader.

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