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RSR ROBBINS Research - Canada Politics February 26, 2011
  Feb 26, 2011

A targeted poll of 1,058 British Columbia voters from the 2008 general federal election in Canada. This poll was conducted between February 16, and February 23, 2011. Margin of error is 3.04%, 19 times out of 20 @ 95% confidence. Based on this poll there is a 100% probability that the federal Conservatives lead the federal New Democrats and federal Liberals in the Province of British Columbia. There is a 100% probability that the federal New Democrats lead the federal Liberals in B.C.

Question #1
If a federal election were held tomorrow for which leader and party would you caste your ballot?
Stephen Harper and Conservative Party of Canada    37.5 %
Jack Layton and New Democratic Party of Canada    29.5 %
Michael Ignatieff and Liberal Party of Canada    21.5 %
Elizabeth May and Green Party of Canada    8.5 %
Other Party    2.5 %
Commentary
Stephen Harper and Conservative Party of Canada leads the major federal political parties in the Province of British Columbia with (37.5%) support among 2008 federal voters. The federal Conservative party dominates the North and Interior of the province with 49%, leads on Vancouver Island with (35.5%), and scores (32.5%) throughout the Lower Mainland from Vancouver city to the Fraser Valley region.
Jack Layton and the New Democratic Party of Canada is second in voter/respondent support with (33.5%) support on Vancouver Island, (30%) throughout the Lower Mainland from Vancouver city to the Fraser Valley region and (25%) on the North and Interior of the Province.
Michael Ignatieff and the Liberal Party of Canada achieves third place with federal voters in British Columbia scoring (25.5%) throughout the Lower Mainland from Vancouver city to the Fraser Valley region, (23%) on Vancouver Island and (13%) in the North and Interior of the province.
Some Stephen Harper Conservative scores include: Fraser Valley (51%), Prince George-Okanagan (49%), South and mid Vancouver Island (36%) and Richmond Vancouver (31%). Jack Layton and New Democrat totals include: Vancouver-Eastern suburbs (36%), South and mid Vancouver Island (34%). Michael Ignatieff and Liberal totals include: Richmond - Vancouver (32%), South and mid Vancouver Island (21%).
Although Stephen Harper Conservative totals are down from 2008 general federal election totals in this ROBBINS poll some of this deficit can be explained by slightly lower totals in areas where Conservatives dominate. Where there may be issues of potential seat loss could be in rural British Columbia on Vancouver Island and in some suburban constituencies. The Conservatives main opponent in BC is the federal New Democratic Party.
Jack Layton New Democratic totals are up slightly with its best totals in Vancouver and eastern suburbs. Michael Ignatieff’s Liberals best totals are derived through Richmond and Vancouver.
Conservatives have their weakest showing in Vancouver, the NDP in the Fraser Valley-Richmond and Okanagan regions of the province. Federal Liberals are weakest throughout North and Interior - including the Okanagan region, Fraser Valley-mid Vancouver Island and some areas of Lower Mainland suburbs.

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