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RSR ROBBINS Research - British Columbia Politics May 20, 2011
  May 20, 2011

Question #1
Which British Columbia political leader and party do you support most? (Decided to 100% adjusted for gender averages throughout each region).
Adrian Dix and BC NDP    40.9 %
Christy Clark and BC Liberals    31.9 %
John Cummins and BC Conservatives    17.4 %
Jane Sterk and BC Greens    5.5 %
Chris Delaney and BC First    3.2 %
Undecided    10 %
Question #2
Which British Columbia political leader and party do you support least and last?
Christy Clark and BC Liberals    44 %
Adrian Dix and BC NDP    29 %
John Cummins and BC Conservatives    13.5 %
Jane Sterk and BC Greens    10.5 %
Question #3
In your opinion is a BC School Board policy designed specifically to protect gay, bisexual and transsexual students necessary?
Yes    32.5 %
No    55.5 %
Undecided    12 %
Question #4
Do you support a general provincial election for this coming June-July 2011?
Yes    47 %
No    33 %
Maybe    20 %
Question #5
Do you support a general provincial election for this coming September-October 2011?
Yes    51 %
No    31 %
Maybe    18 %
Question #6
In your opinion is a BC School Board policy designed specifically to protect persons of colour necessary?
Yes    23 %
No    64 %
Undecided    13 %
Commentary
BC New Democrats continue to dominate Vancouver Island with nearly one in two 2009 BC voters supporting them in this ROBBINS poll. BC Conservatives are second on Vancouver Island (20%). The BC NDP looks to take all seats on Vancouver Island, with BC Conservatives hoping for one in Parksville-Qualicum. BC Liberals appear to be heading for extinction on Vancouver Island.
The Lower Mainland reveals BC NDP with a commanding lead over BC Liberals in support from 2009 BC voters (44% to 35%). The New Democrats look to win 7 or 8 seats in Vancouver City - dominate Burnaby-the Tri-City region and Surrey - with wins on the North Shore, Maple Ridge and Mission forthcoming.
A significant presence of the BC Conservatives in the Fraser Valley continues to make this once BC Liberal stronghold essentially a three way race - with the BC First Party looking to potentially have an influence on eventual outcomes. Both fringe players on the political scene - BC Greens and BC First will have an impact in the North and Interior of the Province where the BC Liberals hold (36%) and BC Conservatives and BC NDP hold (25%) and (28%) support respectively.
Christy Clark and BC Liberals are supported “least and last”---- most -- by BC voters from the 2009 general provincial election--- (Decided) across the province-- with nearly (70%) of Vancouver Island “voters” holding that party in low regard (“least and last
(81%) of BC New Democrat supporters/ support the BC Liberals “least and last” - with BC Conservatives (12%) and BC Greens (7%) supported “least and last” by BC New Democrats.
(77.5%) of BC Liberals support BC New Democrats “least and last” - (16.5%) support BC Conservatives “least and last” - (4%) BC Greens and (1%) BC First “least and last.”
(52%) of BC Conservatives support BC Liberals “least and last“, (17%) support BC NDP “least and last” and (31%) support BC Greens “least and last”.
(66%) of BC Greens support BC Conservatives “least and last” - (18.5%) support BC New Democrats “least and last” and (15%) support BC Liberals “least and last“. (43%) of BC First support BC Liberals “least and last” - (38.5%) support BC NDP “least and last“, while (17%) support BC Greens “least and last”.
Social Policy initiated from School Boards with respect to protecting gay, bisexuals - transsexuals - and persons of colour is supported least of all in the Fraser Valley region (77% +) Decided against—BC voters. (63%) of Decided Lower Mainland respondents - and (60%) of North and Interior respondents do not support such policies - perceived by the majority of British Columbians as not necessary-- and many not wanting government—particularly School Boards advancing social policy targeted at specific groups only. Other respondents would consider such policies but from the provincial government so long as they were more general against meanness and bullying no matter the sexual orientation or race of the person(s).
A majority of BC voters - want a provincial election - based primarily on the high support for an election ------- (68%) Decided BC NDP supporters looking for an early election. BC Liberals (52%) want an earlier election or (28%) are “Maybe” on an election. Not surprisingly the vast majority of BC Conservative supporters (76%) do not want an earlier election - based on a number of reasons - and not necessarily because the party probably isn’t ready to translate the higher support into actual votes.
Christy Clark and BC Liberal support has rebounded some since the federal general election where Stephen Harper’s Conservatives won a majority of seats - but lost some ground to the federal New Democrats in the Province of British Columbia - and where the Liberal brand took a pounding. BC Liberal leader Clark’s recent Point Grey by-election win has helped -. There is enough support for an earlier election and she might seriously consider calling one with the HST underneath (with the Canada Post -rationale--/ available - although her main enemy the BC NDP are ready and set to go to a general provincial election with supporters convinced of - a solid majority victory - her other enemy John Cummins and BC Conservatives are not ready - and this provides her only opportunity to win---as time will only further entrench at least a partial BC Liberal - BC Conservative vote split---and NDP provincial government satisfying------------------
Prime Minister Stephen Harper’s ambition that a social democrat provincial government in Victoria will serve to maintain a Conservative government in Ottawa--and remove the last vestiges of federal Liberalism in the province of British Columbia under Christy Clark=notwithstanding the two Trojans – Stockwell Day and Jay Hill looking for another easier softer way closer to home.
A Strategic Calling Environment Poll of 1008 British Columbians throughout all regions of the province between May 12 - 18, 2011. The Margin of Error is 3.08%, 19 times out of 20 @ 95% confidence.

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