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RSR ROBBINS Research - British Columbia Politics November 3, 2011
  Nov 03, 2011

Question #1
Which provincial leader and party do you currently support?
Adrian Dix and BC New Democrats    39.49 %
Christy Clark and BC Liberals    33.11 %
John Cummins and BC Conservatives    21.29 %
Jane Sterk and BC Greens    3.82 %
Independent leader and party    2.37 %
Undecided/Can’t Answer    15.5 %
Question #2
The Conservative government of Canada awarded 8 billion dollars of a total of 33 billion dollars in shipbuilding contracts to a British Columbia Corporation. In your opinion is this a fair allocation of the total contract?
Yes    42 %
No    44 %
Undecided/Can’t Answer    14 %
Question #3
The Corporation that won the 8 billion shipbuilding contract in BC has indicated that although most of the contract will remain in B.C. some of its benefits may go elsewhere including possibly the United States. Is the distribution of some of the contract monies to U.S. Corporations acceptable to you?
Yes    18.5 %
No    66.5 %
Undecided/Can’t Answer    15 %
Question #4
Do you support the Occupy Wall Street movement which has come to Vancouver, British Columbia and appears primarily to be ‘against’ what it believes is a culture of corporate greed and economic collusion between governments and corporations to the detriment of the majority of the people?*
Yes    39 %
No    37.5 %
Undecided/Can’t Answer    23.5 %
Commentary
The questions in this poll relate to the popularity of leaders and party’s in British Columbia, the recent award of a shipbuilding contract to the Province of British Columbia, the possibility, or alternatively, the hypothetical of some of that contract benefitting the United States, in the face of renewed Buy America messages from American representatives in Canada, and the Occupy Wall Street movement in Vancouver, British Columbia.
During this polling period news of additional seat allocations to British Columbia and other provinces was introduced, The BC Liberal government had to pay 30 billion in settlement to a Uranium company for failing to accept an application (and may pay more yet), and the significant rattle and hum of confrontation over the Occupy movement in tents is coming to a head in the City of Vancouver (particularly), and there was news relating to the ending of the long gun registry by the Stephen Harper Conservative government. News relating to changes to the BC Teachers College and the BC Hydro Massacre are outside the polling period.
The (1st) highest number of respondents from the Lower Mainland of British Columbia (“Greater Vancouver”) and the Fraser Valley (including Langley and Langley Township) are attracted to the “NO” response in question 3 which asks: “The Corporation that won the 8 billion shipbuilding contract in BC has indicated that although most of the contract will remain in B.C. some of its benefits may go elsewhere including possibly the United States. Is the distribution of some of the contract monies to U.S. Corporations acceptable to you?” (78%) of decided responses selected the “No” response to this question.
The (2nd) highest number of respondents – are those who selected “NO” to question number 2 which asks: “The Conservative government of Canada awarded 8 billion of a total of 33 billion in shipbuilding contracts to a British Columbia Corporation. In your opinion is this a fair allocation of the total contract?” (51%) responded “No”.
Tied for (2nd) highest number of respondents answered “Yes” to question 4 which ask: “Do you support the Occupy Wall Street movement which has come to Vancouver, British Columbia and appears primarily to be ‘against’ what it believes is a culture of corporate greed and economic collusion between governments and corporations to the detriment of the majority of the people?” (51%) of decided respondents selected the “Yes” response. Almost one in four respondents is “Undecided/Can’t Answer”.*
It would appear that the 8 billion dollar shipbuilding contract allocated to British Columbia’s Seaspan Corporation drew a reasonable response in favour of its fairness, however a very slight majority of British Columbians were of the opinion it was “not fair”. (It is interesting at the potential influence new federal seat allocations may have had on this question).
Although there were no clear reports of any of the 8 billion contract being allocated to U.S. companies there was at least one suggestion that some may go there owing to necessity. Seaspan is connected to the Washington Companies “which does business throughout the United States and Western Canada” including marine transportation. The BC public will be interested in knowing if any of the 8 billion dollars is going elsewhere, particularly if it is used to benefit the United States economy.
The mainstream news media has gone to great lengths to label and characterize the Occupy Wall Street (in Vancouver) through a somewhat self centered lens. Establishment journalists from any political point of view – look at movements predicated on criteria that they see the world in. Who are the people – Who are their leaders? – What do they want? – Where is their money? – Who funds them and on and on. The Movement remains more symbolic and is evolving, something that is difficult for the status quo to understand – or is unwilling to understand.
The media is paid by corporations (their employer) who receives, at least in Canada most of its income from through national advertisers that demand deference to their dollars, supported by national public relations firms and pollsters whose organizations have been lead by large banks and or pharmaceutical companies. Whether they want to admit it or not – they are bias. To make the situation equitable (in our view) our Occupy Wall Street question (4) might be construed as a push in favour of the movement as the underlying inference is that corporations might be bad and government/corporate relations might also be bad – as opposed to good. This identification is denoted with the asterisk.
In our question linking the ‘movement’ to corporate greed and tying corporations and government through collusion – support is reasonably high among regular people. The average person is more afraid and mistrustful of government and corporations than some people in tents protesting. Also, the general support for the movement is diffuse and varied among all age and income groups. People may not admit it in mixed company, but many support the Movement because they don’t support the existing institutional system.
Christy Clark and her BC Liberals did not benefit from the 8 billion dollar announcement, if there is a winner in this poll once again- its John Cummins and BC Conservatives, and what have they done to deserve this? Not being Christy Clark – and not being the BC Liberals apparently. Federal Conservative senior minister for BC James Moore was speaking in glowing terms of the 8 billion dollar shipbuilding contract allocated from the federal government and its benefits for BC jobs. In doing so he referenced 3 BC political leaders including Adrian Dix, Christy Clark and John Cummins. The federal Conservative shipbuilding announcement helps the federal Conservatives with Labour – and helps the BC Conservatives in the province. Christy Clark appears more like Stephen Harper’s cheerleader in the midst of all the testosterone. Getting rid of the long gun registry helps the BC Conservatives. Each positive announcement made by Stephen Harper’s majority government sheds more sunshine on the junior label – BC Conservatives – than on Christy Clark’s BC Liberals – which are gradually becoming a bona fide liberal party in the province. Perhaps Christy Clark should just accept this new reality and deal with it – by doing so she may begin to come across more naturally to people in the province.
Support breakdown occurred as follows (adjusted):
Question 1 – BC New Democrats from Vancouver through to Surrey (43%), Langley through the Fraser Valley (30%). BC Liberals from Vancouver through to Surrey (32%), Langley through the Fraser Valley (34%). BC Conservatives from Vancouver through to Surrey (18.5%), Langley through the Fraser Valley (31.5%).
Methodology: A random Telephone sample of 842 British Columbians residing throughout the Lower Mainland including Surrey and Langley –Abbotsford and the Fraser Valley region of the Province of British Columbia. This poll was conducted from October 19, 2011 until October 26, 2011. The Margin of Error (M.O.E.) of this poll is 3.38% plus or minus, 19 times out of 20 @ 95% confidence. Numbers have been adjusted to reflect gender demographics in the strategic regions polled. Question 4 relating to the Occupy Movement has been denoted with an asterisk.
This poll was sponsored in part by Jim Van Rassel (604) 942-0922.

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