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RSR ROBBINS Research - Canada Politics May 20, 2013
  May 20, 2013

Question #1
Which federal political party and leader do you support? (Final numbers adjusted for gender)
Stephen Harper and Conservative Party of Canada    33 %
Justin Trudeau and Liberal Party of Canada    30.5 %
Brian Topp and New Democratic Party of Canada    28.5 %
All Other Parties    8 %
Undecided    17 %
Question #2
Which leader and political party you do trust the most with public policy relating to the environment? (Numbers for leader and party presented as Decided )
Justin Trudeau and Liberal Party of Canada    33.5 %
Brian Topp and New Democratic Party of Canada    25.5 %
Stephen Harper and Conservative Party of Canada    21 %
All Other Parties    20 %
Undecided    7 %
Commentary
Justin Trudeau and the Liberal Party of Canada are statistically tied with Stephen Harper and the Conservative Party of Canada in public support in this ROBBINS New Trend Christmas 2011 poll of Canadians.
Justin Trudeau and the Liberal Party of Canada are leading all other parties as the most “trusted with public policy relating to the environment.”
Justin Trudeau, son of former Canadian Prime Minister Pierre Elliot Trudeau one of Canada’s most famous political leaders is proven an incredible game changer on the political scene in Canada at this time in this ROBBINS New Trend poll.
Mr. Trudeau’s Liberal Party of Canada has increased voter support by a whopping (60%) from the lowly 19% vote total achieved in the most recent federal general election May 2, 2011.
The governing Conservatives under Stephen Harper have dropped (17.5%)from the 39.6% vote total achieved in overall support over the same period of time, while the federal New Democrats under leadership hopeful Brian Topp are slightly under the 30% totals achieved during the most recent federal election under their previous leader, the late Jack Layton.
The federal Liberal Party under Justin Trudeau advances in public support in Canada’s largest provinces: Ontario (40% of total population of Canada) where they have increased popular support by (37%), Quebec (24% of population) by (90%) and British Columbia (13% of total population) by (108%). The Harper Conservatives have lost support (17%) in Ontario and (28%) in British Columbia, and continue to be unpopular in the Province of Quebec down (37%) from their previous low totals from the 2011 general election of 16%.
New Democrat leadership hopeful Brian Topp is off (10%) in Quebec from the (43%) achieved in the 2011 general election, attracts similar totals in the Province of Ontario and British Columbia as they did earlier during the May 2011 federal general election—while dropping nearly 10% in the Atlantic Provinces.
Justin Trudeau and the Liberal Party of Canada public support in terms of “trust” relating to environmental policy are higher than their popular support in every province in the nation. On the other hand, Stephen Harper and the Conservative Party of Canada and Brian Topp and the New Democratic Party of Canada have lower support in terms of “trust” on environmental public policy than they do in public support.
“All other Parties” have significantly higher support on “Trust” with environmental policy than in popular support.
This ROBBINS New Trend public opinion poll for Christmas 2011 reveals that under Justin Trudeau’s leadership the Liberal Party of Canada is back in business with an opportunity to take leadership of the country away from Stephen Harper and the Conservative Party of Canada. “Trust” over the environment could be the issue that provides the Liberal Party of Canada with their opportunity to lead Canada once again.
Stephen Harper and Conservative Party of Canada (From West to East) (Question #1)
British Columbia (32%); Alberta (57%); Saskatchewan (54%); Manitoba (41%); Ontario (37%); Quebec (11%); Atlantic Provinces (34%).
Justin Trudeau and Liberal Party of Canada
British Columbia (28%); Alberta (22%); Saskatchewan (21%); Manitoba (30%); Ontario (34%); Quebec (26.5%); Atlantic Provinces (37%).
Brian Topp and New Democratic Party of Canada
British Columbia (32%); Alberta (18%); Saskatchewan (23%); Manitoba (25%); Ontario (25%); Quebec (37%); Atlantic Provinces (27%).
Justin Trudeau and Liberal Party of Canada (From West to East) (Question #2)
British Columbia (34%); Alberta (30%); Saskatchewan (24%); Manitoba (34%); Ontario (35%); Quebec (35%); Atlantic Provinces (37%)
Brian Topp and New Democratic Party of Canada
British Columbia (29%); Alberta (15%); Saskatchewan (19%); Manitoba (17%); Ontario (19%); Quebec (31%); Atlantic Provinces (23%)
Stephen Harper and Conservative Party of Canada
British Columbia (22%); Alberta (40%); Saskatchewan (7%); Manitoba (18%); Ontario (31%); Quebec (5%); Atlantic Provinces (10%).
Methodology-A random telephone sample of 1,405 Canadians of voting age conducted between the dates of December 11-19, 2011. The Margin of Error for this poll is 2.61% plus or minus, 19 times out of 20 @ 95% confidence. Results for both questions 1 and 2 are ‘grossed up’ to 'decided' totals with Undecided amount segregated. Results for questions 1 and 2 have been altered from raw data to properly reflect gender breakdown. Average age support for: Stephen Harper and Conservative Party of Canada (57), Justin Trudeau and Liberal Party of Canada (44), Brian Topp and New Democratic Party (47).

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