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Quebec, Canada supports Trump ban on Muslims, against TPP & is 'serious' about leaving Canada
  Aug 15, 2016

Question #1
In December 2015 Donald Trump declared that Muslims would not be coming to the United States if he became President. Would you support a similar ban in Quebec?
Yes    52 %
No    46 %
Question #2
U.S. Candidate for President Donald Trump is absolutely against the Trans Pacific Trade Partnership signed by the Harper government and now supported by the Trudeau government. Do you support the Trans Pacific Trade Partnership trade agreement?
Yes    21 %
No    72 %
Question #3
Britain has left the European Union. There are other countries thinking of leaving as well. At this time if a referendum were held will your seriously consider voting for Quebec to leave Canada?
Yes    44 %
No    41 %
“Decided” numbers: (53%) of Quebeckers support a ban on Muslims, a percentage similar to the United States. (77%) are against the Trans Pacific Partnership, and (50.6%) “will seriously consider voting for Quebec to leave Canada.”
According to a November 20, 2013 article written by Lysiane Gagnon in the Globe and Mail online newspaper entitled “How Quebec choose immigrants”, “the current hysteria over Muslim immigration in Quebec is partly due to the province's own immigration policies.”
Ms. Gagnon explains: “Ever since Quebec gained the right to selection its own immigrants, it made sure to grant privileged access to candidates already fluent in French.” “What happened is that most French-speaking immigrants came from France's former zone of influence, namely Arab and Muslim countries.”
“Among the French nationals who emigrated to Quebec, a sizable proportion was made up of French people of Arab origin who felt discriminated against even though they were born and raised in France.”
“This accounts for the fact that Quebec has the largest population of Arabs in Canada relative to its population.” “Accordingly to Statistics Canada, the number of Quebeckers who identified themselves as Muslims in 2011 has doubled since 2001, reaching a total of 200,000.”
According to an article by Dean Beeby September 24, 2015 (during the Canadian Federal Election) entitled “Poll ordered by Harper (PM) found strong support for niqab ban at citizenship ceremonies.”
“A (sic) March (2015) telephone survey by Leger Marketing found 82 percent of Canadians favoured the policy somewhat or strongly...” “The Leger Survey results, delivered March 31 (2015) to the Privy Council Office, were published Thursday, the first day of the first French-language leaders debate.”
“The Conservative government tried to impose a ban on face coverings at citizenship ceremonies, but the Federal Court ruled earlier this month that such a ban is unlawful.”
“The survey of 3,000 Canadians, plus a series of 12 related focus groups, cost (taxpayers) $133,000 Canadian.”
In a recent poll provided by Leger Marketing on behalf of the Association for Canadian Studies (ACS)(who includes the Privy Council of Canada as a “partner”), conducted at the time of the Brexit vote, suggested that 58 percent of francophones “are attached to Canada”, and that two thirds overall are “attached to Canada”. The problem with this poll of course is the use of language in questioning. Poll outcomes suggest that of the 58 percent francophones 38 percent are only “somewhat attached” to Canada.
Linguistically “somewhat” (an adverb) in English means “a little”, “a bit” “to some extent”. Attached, an adjective, means “joined” or “fastened” to something, or alternatively, “full of affection” or “fondness”. Clearly the border of Quebec is completely fastened or joined to other Canadian provinces physically, like an arm to one's shoulder. A little bit of affection is hardly sufficient outcome to support the headline conclusion.
A good deal of the distance to French language translation is "quelque peu”, or "un peu", which means “a little”, or “slightly”. “Somewhat” would contrast to “deep affection” and would not be close to it in meaning, relative to the standard of overall affection.
In a news report from Kevin Drew in US News entitled “In France, the Anxiety Deepens” written July 15, 2016, the author writes: “Thursday's deadly attack in France places further strain on a beleaguered nation being tested by a variety of social and political tensions, including how its countrymen and women will react to the third high profiled attack in just over a year and a half.”
“Accurate estimates of the country's Muslim population are difficult to obtain but most place the community at 7 percent to 10 percent of the population. A French law dating back to the 19th century...underscores the countries (sic) secular stance (and) forbids census-takers to ask about religious beliefs.”
“In (sic) 2014 an (sic) online poll by Ipsos Mori found the average person in France overstated the Muslim presence in the country believing that Muslim made up 31 percent of the population of the French population.”
“According to demographics of Quebec “French is the First Official language spoken by more than 85.5% of the population.”
“According to Statistics Canada (2006)”, “knowledge of official languages” reflects 53.9% as “French only”, “4.5% as English only” and 40.6% as both English and French.”
“Nearly 90% of Quebec is comprised of Catholic Christians or Protestant Christians with the Muslim religion constituting (sic) 2% of overall Quebec population.”
The history of debate concerning Muslim immigration in the Province of Quebec is well documented as being affected by Quebec's need to assert its French-language rights amid the province's more recent to mid term 'static' population growth, as well as the province's historical policy to encourage 'in migration' of french -speaking immigrants from countries within the former sphere of influence of France where Muslim is the dominant religion.
The rise in terrorist actions in the United States since 2001 with many recent terrorist actions in Europe (particularly France), has brought a new political awareness to the circumstances under how immigrants from 'Muslim countries', particularly the Middle East and Northern Africa are vetted prior to their arrival to Canada, and, with the increase number of terrorist attacks initiated by citizens of Muslim background within the country, how policy initiatives in terms of national security might be better developed. No matter how one opinion may differ on the causes of the Global Terrorist Threat, the fact that events are taking place on western soil suggests trouble is here, and Canada's Quebec gets this.
During the 2015 Canadian federal election, the Liberal Party of Canada under leadership of Justin Trudeau, a Montreal Quebec native, advanced policies linked to assisting Syrian refugees in their quest to make it to the safety of Canadian shores. This compassionate election platform in terms of refugees was accepted well by most Canadians.
However, during that same election the Prime Minister of Canada made efforts to turn Quebec away from the New Democrats who held the most seats in the Province at the time, and to save themselves from being wiped out electorally in the Province by advancing the case of the niqab asserting essentially that the wearing of this face covering by Muslim women during citizenship ceremonies was inappropriate and should be banned.
Although this action on the part of Stephen Harper and his Conservative Party did not turn his party's fortunes in Quebec, or across Canada for that matter, it may have staved off a wipe out in Quebec and won a few seats elsewhere in Canada for the Conservative Party, currently seeking a new leader to replace Stephen Harper.
With Election Day in the United States advancing, and the consistent, nearly common terrorists attacks in the U.S., in Europe and elsewhere of late, global terrorist and national security issues are on top of voters minds.
This would include (particularly) Quebec whose citizens see the devastating impact that terrorist attacks have had on France and who now see any benefit of in migration of French speaking Arab people, mostly Muslim to not be in their best interests, and who see Prime Minister Trudeau's compassionate efforts to introduce thousands of Syrian refugees (not one of the base countries of historic in migration to Quebec) as directly contrary to their "national interests".
Donald Trump has suggested an outright ban on Muslims particularly refugees arriving in the United States. Many Americans disavow what they see as political scapegoating and perhaps acting contrary to the Constitution, while Donald Trump insists U.S. National security interests are in play, and that play must be hard, and that his promise to make a ban on Muslim immigration is material to his election bid.
Quebeckers sense that the election of Donald Trump with potential for economic advantage in terms of trade between the two countries, through his opposition to the Trans Pacific Partnership as something that could be damaged, if a President Trump strengthened border security with Canada as a consequence of the Trudeau immigration policies. To Quebeckers there is no safety in the TPP for them.
An RSR ROBBINS poll in July 2016 reveals Decided U.S. majority support (54%) among voters for a temporary ban on all Muslim persons from terrorist regions “Do you support a temporary ban on immigration into the United States for all Muslim persons from regions of the world where terrorism is prevalent?”
This RSR ROBBINS asks Quebeckers their opinion on Donald Trump's position relative to the ban on Muslim immigration. Quebeckers support Donald Trump's position to the same extent that Americans polled and surveyed did, over (50%).
In follow up question Donald Trump's name and policy is invoked with regard to the Trans Pacific Partnership free trade agreement. A majority of respondents are dead said against this free trade agreement.
The final question moves into the issue of Quebec leaving Canada and is offered within context of the surprise departure from the European Union by Great Britain. Although a (50% + 1%) support for separation is not achieved under any rationization of the numbers, it is close enough to "seriously consider" the Decided percentage of Quebeckers who would seriously consider Quebec leaving Canada is in the majority.
This RSR ROBBINS poll reveals that changes are taking place (quickly) around the world with terrorism or at least the threat of it as a catalyst of many of these changes to significant degree. A year ago, the subject of Quebec leaving Canada lingered but was not top of mind.
Worldwide events economically, strategically involving issues affecting renewed nationalism and protectionism, are affecting the U.S. Presidential election, and from these survey outcomes, likely the future of Canada going forward toward Canada's 150th birthday in the after glow of its own government's changes, with a November U.S. Presidential Election set for November 2016 where anything is literally possible.
Clearly the Leger poll commissioned by Stephen Harper in 2015 opened the door to fan the flames of discontent with Muslim people most of whom are situation in Montreal Quebec, where both Tom Mulcair (current leader of the New Democratic Party), and Justin Trudeau (Prime Minister of Canada and leader of the Liberal Party of Canada) have their constituency offices. This was done for obvious political purposes.
The Privy Council of Canada took possession of the Leger poll in late March 2015 and given the naqib is a charter rights matter, had a duty to deal with any circumstances which might impact on the freedom of Canadians in this case minority Muslims. Nothing was done along these lines. One wonders how a poll like this would justify payment by Canadians of $133,000 where the outcomes went strongly against a visible minority, and when the Government of Canada accepted it the sponsorship of it. Shame on it.
The more recent Leger poll calls into some question the conclusions drawn. Does a little bit of affection mean that Quebeckers are satisfied in their relationship with Canada. We don't believe it does, and further, believe that the efforts of Stephen Harper during the Canadian federal election, worldwide events involving terrorism, particularly in France, have encouraged onset of growing nationalism in Quebec and a desire to leave Canada.
Methodology: A combination survey/poll where English questions and French translation were offered, and where respondents were qualified as to (1) French only; (2) French & English; (3) English only. Best efforts were made with French only where person calling was not fluent in French. As a consequence some response for French only were not used or apologies were made. Only (58%) of persons called took the questions. Many of the outcomes were derived from lists of persons from lists used in surveys used during the election. RSR believes that these deficiencies should not takeover from overall outcomes based on the higher numbers generally for (1) French only respondents. For instance question 1 French only “Yes” (55%), while French & English only is (50%) and English only/other (43%). Question 2 on the Trans Pacific Partnership is an overwhelming “No”. The Quebeckers leaving Canada reveals (50%) of French only respondents seriously considering the proposition, while (45%) of French-English serious consider the proposition and (29%) of English only supporting the proposition. The total number of respondents considered valid for this RSR survey/poll is 632 undertaken between July 3, 2016 to August 6, 2016. The Margin of Error is (3.9%) plus or minus. The probability that Quebeckers support a ban on Muslims is (93%), while the probability that Quebeckers are against the Trans Pacific Partnership is (100%). The probability that Quebeckers would seriously consider leaving Canada is (77%).
Méthodologie: Une enquête de combinaison / sondage où les questions en anglais et la traduction française ont été offerts, et où les répondants étaient qualifiés pour (1) français seulement; (2) français et en anglais; (3) anglais seulement. Tous les efforts ont été faits avec le français que si personne qui appelle ne parlait pas couramment en français. En conséquence une réponse pour le français ne sont pas utilisés ou des excuses ont été faites. Seulement (58%) des personnes appelées a pris les questions. La plupart des résultats ont été tirés à partir de listes de personnes à partir des listes utilisées dans les enquêtes utilisées au cours de l'élection. RSR estime que ces lacunes ne devrait pas prise en charge de l'ensemble des résultats sur la base des chiffres plus élevés en général pour (1) français seulement répondants. Par exemple la question 1 français seulement «oui» (55%), tandis que le français et l'anglais est le seul (50%) et en anglais seulement / autre (43%). Question 2 sur le Partenariat transpacifique est une écrasante "Non". Les Québécois qui quittent le Canada révèle (50%) des Français seulement répondants envisagent sérieusement la proposition, alors que (45%) des Français-Anglais sérieuse examiner la proposition et (29%) de l'anglais seulement soutenir la proposition. Le nombre total de répondants considérés valides pour cette enquête RSR / sondage est 632 réalisée entre le 3 Juillet 2016 au 6 Août 2016. La marge d'erreur est (3,9%) plus ou moins. La probabilité que les Québécois appuient l'interdiction des musulmans est (93%), tandis que la probabilité que les Québécois sont contre le Partenariat transpacifique est (100%). La probabilité que les Québécois sérieusement envisager de quitter le Canada est (77%).
En Décembre ici à 2015 Donald Trump a déclaré que les musulmans ne seraient pas venir aux États-Unis s'il est devenu président . Souhaitez-vous soutenir une interdiction similaire au Québec?
Candidat États-Unis pour le président Donald Trump est absolument contre le partenariat commercial transpacifique signé par le gouvernement Harper et maintenant soutenu par le gouvernement Trudeau . Soutenez-vous l'accord commercial Trade Partnership Trans Pacific ?
La Grande-Bretagne a quitté l'Union européenne . Il y a d'autres pays qui envisagent de quitter ainsi . A ce moment, si un référendum avait lieu sera votre envisager sérieusement de voter pour le Québec de quitter le Canada?

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