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2020 Happy July 4th Birthday U.S.A. - % of US Voters supporting Donald Trump/Mike Pence 2020/- Economy, Coronavirus, Law & Order, BLM; Dow Jones, China & Russia
  Jul 04, 2020

Question #1
If the U.S. Election for President were held today, or alternatively thinking about the November Election 2020 today, would you more than likely vote to re elect Donald Trump President, Mike Pence Vice President? (Eligible Voters)
Yes    50.17 %
Question #2
Which issue, from the following, concerns you most as something that requires most attention and focus? (Choose One)
Economy    40 %
Coronavirus    28 %
Law & Order    22 %
Black Lives Matter    10 %
Question #3
In your opinion is the Dow Jones, Nasdaq and stock market “a most important measure of how the United States is performing at home and abroad with economic and political issues”?
Yes    60 %
Question #4
Do you see President Trump as a Law & Order President?
Yes    72 %
Question #5
In your opinion are large cable political mainstream media including large newspapers manipulative or dishonest in their reporting more often as not?
Trump/Pence (Yes)    72 %
Question #6
Which of the following countries concerns you most as being adverse to U.S. National Interests?
China    29 %
Russia    17 %
Both China & Russia    42 %
Neither China nor Russia    10 %
Commentary
Margin of Error < 1%, Confidence 99%
By State: (Predicted Outcomes for November 2020 Trump/Pence 2020)-California (42.5%), Texas (54%), Florida (53%), New York (42%), Pennsylvania (48%), Ohio (54%), Illinois (44%), Georgia (53%), North Carolina (54%), Michigan (49%), New Jersey (45%), Virginia (50%), Washington (45%), Arizona (52%), Massachusetts (38%), Tennessee (60%), Indiana (58%).
Trump/Pence 2020 across 17 most populous States attracts (49.12%) $upport for re-election 2020, while subsequent 17 States calculate an increase to Trump/Pence 2020 of (1.05%) according to ROBBINS. Remaining States expected to increase Trump/Pence 2020 vote by at least one percent furthermore.
States of California, New York, and Illinois in our pool of top 17 populated countries (which Trump/Pence 2020 lost badly in 2016), contribute (1.7%) to Trump National totals NOW. There may not be support in these States for a Trump upset win (yet), unless the “Other” non traditional party vote climbs to (3-4%).
I really like Trump’s chances in New Jersey - he is going to poll in mid 40’s all day and night in New Jersey. A fringe candidate vote upwards of (3%) in New Jersey puts that Springsteen - Bon Jovi State in Trump’s column.
I also like Trump’s chances in New Mexico, Nevada, and (yes) Washington State. Well doggy! Hispanics in that State and western US States (or any other) do not support crimes against persons and property. Black Lives Matter does not do well with Trump supporters.
Subsequent 15 (ending 32nd) most populous States (beginning with Missouri and ending with Nevada) increase Trump/Pence 2020 $upport by another (1.05%). 14 remaining States increase Trump/Pence 2020 (1%) Nationally.
Top 32 most populous U.S. States estimated (3.75%) increase support for Trump/Pence 2020. Remaining small popular States increase Trump/Pence support/projected vote by just less than (.5%-1.2%). If the Trump/Pence 2020 Election Campaign is as efficient as it was in 2016 and given Democrats' trend to voter inefficiency these numbers represent a Trump/Pence White House 2020 with a College into the 400’s. Outstanding.
If migration out of states to other states is factored into my calculations, add another (1.2%) Nationally to Trump/Pence 2020 or (51.44%) total National Vote Projection for Trump/Pence 2020 (given the migration pattern, New York to Florida and such). An Electoral wipeout.
We believe the non Democratic or Republican will be in the (1.75% to 2.25%) range at Election time in November 2020. We consider an undecided of (3-4%). This leaves (44%-45%) remaining for Democrats.
A lot of candidates unrelated to either Republican or Democratic Parties run for Election in many States including California. Watch out.
Economy trumps Coronavirus (59%) to (41%) as ‘concerning, requiring more focus & attention’, while Law and Order trumps Blacks Lives Matter (69%) to (31%). It just feels like Trump/Pence 2020 are going to run away with a major victory.
A lot of candidates unrelated to either Republican or Democratic Parties run for Election in many States including California. Watch out.
Economy trumps Coronavirus (59%) to (41%) as ‘concerning, requiring more focus & attention’, while Law and Order trumps Blacks Lives Matter (69%) to (31%). It just feels like Trump/Pence 2020 are going to run away with a major victory.
When respondents speak beyond answering the question, they are almost always efficient and smart, particularly older respondents (past 58). The average presumed age from less than (68%) response in this Truly Magnificent Poll -2020 Happy July 4th Birthday U.S.A. - % of US Voters supporting Donald Trump/Mike Pence 2020/- Economy, Coronavirus, Law & Order, BLM; Dow Jones, China & Russia is “47” - as it was when I predicted Barack Obama to beat Hillary Clinton in February 2008. Saw the data - saw him on TV - instant - “Gold Jerry Gold”. Just got a sentimental tear in my eye.
Trump/Pence 2020 DECIDED- divides up choices on ‘important/concerning issues from question 2’ as follows: Economy (53%), Law & Order (33%), Coronavirus (11%), Black Lives Matter (3%). Undecided (1%).
Not Trump/Pence/Undecided 2020 supporters: DECIDED- Coronavirus (43%), Economy (27%), Black Lives Matter (17%), Law and Order (10%). Undecided (7%).
The Economy is twice as ‘important’ to Trump/Pence 2020 supporters as it is to Not Trump/Pence supporters/Undecided. Coronavirus is nearly 4 times more important to Not Trump/Pence than to Trump/Pence. Law & Order more than 3 times important to Trump/Pence supporters than Not Trump/Pence. Black Lives Matter is 6 times more important to Not Trump/Pence than it is to Trump/Pence.
Folks, we have a difference of opinion on the issues. On the whole I’d much rather be in Trump/Pence 2020 shoes than Not.
GPR
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