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Is Christy already turning crispy?
  Sep 24, 2005

A digit dialing random (thorough) sample of 235 residents in Vancouver who voted in the last federal and provincial election(s). This poll was conducted between September 17 and 21, 2005. Approximately 3.5 respondents were achieved per hour of person calling. Readers should note it requires significantly more effort to identify (I) respondents who voted in both elections, PLUS (ii) respondents who will tell you who they voted for in those elections. This poll should be treated as if 600 respondents were interviewed, and features a margin of error of 3.5%, 18 times out of 20 @96% competency rate. The competency rate was adjusted downward somewhat owing to the high number of apparent BC Liberal supporters who are also federal Conservative party supporters who do not appear to support Christy Clark for Mayor.

Question #1
For which political party did you cast your ballot in the last general federal election June 2004?
Paul Martin and federal Liberal government    42 %
Stephen Harper and federal Conservative government    18 %
Jack Layton and federal New Democratic Party    34 %
Jim Harris and federal Green Party    07 %
Question #2
For which political party did you cast your ballot in the last provincial general election
Gordon Campbell and BC Liberal party    45 %
Carole James and New Democrats    44 %
Adriane Carr and Green Party    10 %
Question #3
With six months to go until the next general federal election must be called, for which political leader and party would you be most inclined to cast your vote if a snap election were called for one month from today?
Stephen Harper and federal Conservative party    18 %
Jim Harris and federal Green Party    06 %
Jack Layton and New Democratic Party    34 %
Paul Martin and federal Liberal Party    39 %
Undecided-    03 %
Question #4
Prime Minister Paul Martin has been criticized by Rock Stars Bono of the band U2 and Bob Geldof organizer of worldwide Rock’n’Roll fundraisers, for not honouring Canada’s commitment to provide debt relief ‘funding’ for third world countries. In your opinion is this criticism fair?
Yes    53 %
No    44 %
Undecided    03 %
Question #5
Is it your opinion that China’s President Hu’s trip to British Columbia and promise of increased business between his country and our province will help what Premier Campbell refers to as “BC’s economic momentum”?
Yes    56 %
No    40 %
Undecided    04 %
Question #6
In your opinion did Paul Martin do enough to convince President Hu of China to make reforms to Human Rights record?
Yes    39 %
No    54 %
Undecided    07 %
Question #7
In your opinion is NPA candidate and Vancouver Mayoralty hopeful Christy Clark?
A talented woman who has what it takes to be a good Mayor in Vancouver    36 %
) a political personality only who is backed by the federal Liberal party and has no real community roots in Vancouver    39 %
maybe the best thing that has ever happened to Vancouver    05 %
nothing more or less than an out of town carpetbagger    16 %
Undecided    04 %
Question #8
Premier Gordon Campbell has organized what he says is an independent group of British Columbians known as the BC Competition Council who are tasked with the job of investigating and independently reporting on a number of sectors in British Columbia including forestry, mining, oil and gas, and the environment to name but a few. Some of the people or their businesses in this independent group have either provided donations or have been political supporters of the Premier in the past. In your opinion is Gordon Campbell’s competition council of BC both (a) likely to be independent and (b) a worthwhile political exercise?
Yes    36 %
No    56 %
Undecided    08 %
The relationship between the Prime Minister of Canada, the Premier of the Province of BC, and Christy Clark’s run for Mayor are closely examined in this poll. International, federal and provincial relations as these relate to economic and human rights considerations are featured, to help us understand how federal and provincial voters reflect political (including local-Vancouver) considerations.
Paul Martin’s support is a ‘little soft’ in Vancouver. China’s president Hu’s visit to Canada and B.C. helped Gordon Campbell’s BC Liberals more than it did Paul Martin’s federal Liberals. China currently represents tremendous economic potential in terms of trade for B.C., far more than it does human rights compliance.
The federal government has more responsibility for human rights than the provincial government does. Liberal Senator Mobina Jaffer has significant experience in the Human Rights area. She is a former refugee from Uganda. Why is it we never hear from her except on multicultural channels? Are only women and people of colour entitled to Human Rights protection in Canada?
Criticism’s by third world debt relief advocates Bono and Geldof solidify the public perception that Paul Martin is being forced to speak out of both the right and left sides of his mouth to continue to shore up his government’s ‘somewhat dubious’ and certainly ‘volatile minority status’ across the country.
Premier Campbell on the other hand can claim even more support for his political economic agenda as we cast our collective eyes toward the 2010 Winter Olympics. BC is certainly on an economic roll and it looks like it could be blue sky all the way. Will Jim Green as Mayor of Vancouver change any of this for Premier Campbell et al, when as expected, he refuses development demands of the Premier and his friends like developer Jack Poole, and moves toward a lower density plan for the City, more affordable housing for the poor, and demands more money for the Olympics?
This poll reflects that there is much more at stake with the upcoming NPA nomination and subsequent Mayoralty race than meets the eye. Who wins government in Canada may also be in the mix.

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