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RSR ROBBINS Research - British Columbia Politics February 11, 2012
  Feb 11, 2012

Question #1
Of the following political party choices in British Columbia which one of the following do you support or are you leaning toward supporting at this time?
BC New Democrats    40.7 %
BC Liberals    38.3 %
BC Conservatives    12.7 %
BC Greens    9.1 %
Undecided    16 %
In Kamloops-North Thompson the BC New Democrats and BC Liberals continue to fight for the lead in popular support in this ROBBINS New Trend poll. The BC Liberals won this riding (barely) in 2009, now the BC New Democrats hold a slight lead. This provincial riding is currently held by BC Liberal Environment Minister Terry Lake who attracted 46.94% of the vote in 2009 and now receives (39.4%) in this poll, down (18.5%). The BC New Democrats achieved 44.50% in 2009 and receive (40.7%) in this ROBBINS New Trend poll, down 8.5% from 2009.
BC Green 2009 candidate April Snowe attracted 6.77% in the 2009 provincial general election, and attracts (8.33%) in this ROBBINS NewTrend poll, up 23%, while the BC Conservatives did not run a candidate and are well below their provincial polling average of 20% to 25% (depending on which polling firm you believe).
Kamloops North Thompson is an important political riding for both the governing BC Liberals and Opposition BC New Democrats. Kamloops has long been considered a bellwether riding in BC provincial politics and Terry Lake current BC Liberal environmental minister holds the very important BC Environment Ministry – particularly in light of the Enbridge pipeline debate, and other energy matters in the north and interior of the province. Will this riding see Rafe Mair former Kamloops Social Credit Cabinet Minister under former BC Premier Bill Bennett – return to his former home in Kamloops to lead the charge for the BC Green Party in the next provincial election slated for May 2013?
Public opinion polling reveals that Christy Clark’s version of the governing BC Liberals is doing poorly, especially on Vancouver Island and in the lower mainland of British Columbia. The BC Conservatives are doing particularly well provincially contributing to Ms. Clark’s political problems, including a great show of public support in a recent ROBBINS New Trend poll which showed that the BC Liberals had tumbled from 52% voter support from that provincial general election to just (20%) support now, leaving that eastern mainland suburban riding heading into a provincial by-election in the coming weeks----a toss up between BC New Democrats and BC Conservatives, with the BC New Democrats the more likely favourite with the surprise defection of longtime Port Moody mayor Joe Trasolini from the BC Liberals to the BC New Democrats. The other by-election will be held in the riding of Chilliwack Hope a lower mainland riding in the Fraser Valley half way between Port Moody Coquitlam and Kamloops North Thompson.
If these numbers today translate to votes in the upcoming by-election in Port Moody Coquitlam and in the provincial general election in Kamloops North Thompson in 2013 – it will be interesting to see what ROBBINS NewTrend polling reveal in the coming days in Chilliwack Hope.
A random telephone sample of 252 respondents/residents of Kamloops, Barriere and Clearwater conducted February 3-11, 2012. This ROBBINS NewTrend poll features a margin of error of 6.15% 19 times out of 20 @ 95% confidence.
This ROBBINS New Trend poll is sponsored in part by Jim Van Rassel who has selected the option of donating proceeds to the Gleneagle High School Girls Rugby Team – BC’s 2011 Story of Courage in High School Athletics (placing 6th in provincial finals with a player short, no spares, and two injured players).

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